Norwich vs Burnley Prediction
FT
AI call
Norwich or draw
42%
29%
29%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Norwich vs Burnley prediction: Sportiko gives Norwich a 42% chance of winning, Burnley 29% and the draw 29%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:56.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
Mohamed Touré
assist: José Córdoba
2'
⚽
1–0
Andre Brooks
assist: Anthony Musaba
5'
⚽
2–0
Ruairi McConville
Yellow Card
16'
▮
Mohamed Touré
21'
⚽
3–0
⚽
3–1
27'
Josh Laurent
assist: Jacob Bruun Larsen
▮
28'
Josh Laurent
Yellow Card
José Córdoba
Yellow Card
29'
▮
HT 3–1
Anthony Musaba
⇄ Papa Amadou Diallo
62'
⇄
Oscar Schwartau
⇄ Anis Ben Slimane
62'
⇄
Andre Brooks
Yellow Card
63'
▮
⇄
63'
Jacob Bruun Larsen
⇄ Marcus Edwards
⇄
64'
Aaron Ramsey
⇄ Zeki Amdouni
Anis Ben Slimane
Yellow Card
65'
▮
Andre Brooks
assist: Jack Stacey
67'
⚽
4–1
▮
71'
Zian Flemming
Yellow Card
Andre Brooks
⇄ Ante Crnac
71'
⇄
Mohamed Touré
⇄ Mathias Kvistgaarden
71'
⇄
⇄
78'
Zian Flemming
⇄ Andreas Hountondji
Kenny McLean
⇄ Jacob Wright
80'
⇄
⇄
82'
Hannibal Mejbri
⇄ Ugo Raghouber
FT 4–1
Norwich
Match Stats
Burnley
35%
Ball Possession
65%
20
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
7
8
Blocked Shots
5
12
Shots insidebox
10
5
Shots outsidebox
6
3
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
5
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
318
Total passes
554
258
Passes accurate
481
4
Free Kicks
14
Norwich
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Andre Brooks M | 9.1 | 71' | 2 | – | 3 | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 21 Mohamed Touré F | 8.9 | 71' | 2 | – | 3 | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 3 Jack Stacey D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 16 Jacob Wright M | 7.1 | 10' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 14 Ben Chrisene D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 1 Vladan Kovačević G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | – |
| 19 Papa Amadou Diallo F | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | 3 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 17 Ante Crnac F | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 33 José Córdoba D | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 61 (50%) | 1 |
| 30 Mathias Kvistgaarden F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 49 Anthony Musaba M | 6.5 | 62' | – | 1 | 2 | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 15 Ruairi McConville D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | – |
| 7 Pelle Mattsson M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 23 Kenny McLean M | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 3 |
| 29 Oscar Schwartau M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 20 Anis Ben Slimane M | 6.1 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
Burnley
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Josh Laurent M | 7.5 | 77' | 1 | – | 3 | 58 (55%) | – |
| 7 Jacob Bruun Larsen M | 6.8 | 63' | – | 1 | 2 | 28 (23%) | – |
| 12 Dastan Satpaev M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 32 (24%) | – |
| 28 Hannibal Mejbri M | 6.7 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 26 (26%) | – |
| 10 Marcus Edwards F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 3 Max Alleyne D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 93 (81%) | 1 |
| 17 Andreas Hountondji F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 11 Zeki Amdouni F | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 2 Kyle Walker D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (59%) | 2 |
| 21 Aaron Ramsey M | 6.1 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 19 Zian Flemming F | 6.0 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 20 (14%) | – |
| 14 Connor Roberts D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | – |
| 8 Ugo Raghouber M | 5.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 15 Anel Ahmedhodžić D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 90 (85%) | 2 |
| 1 Max Weiss G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Norwich vs Burnley
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Value Edge — model vs market
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
Norwich or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Norwich
LLLWW
Burnley
DLDLD
Last 3 meetings
Norwich · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Norwich faces Burnley in a Championship clash, with both teams looking to secure vital points early in the season. Norwich's attack, bolstered by their ability to create chances from wide areas, will test Burnley's defense, which has shown vulnerability in set-piece situations. Burnley's resilience and experience in the league could play a crucial role, especially in counter-attacking scenarios. With both teams aiming for promotion, this match is likely to be tightly contested, highlighting the tactical battle between Norwich's offensive strategy and Burnley's defensive organization.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
29%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Norwich
M. Touré
5 gls
Burnley
No scorer data.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Norwich vs Burnley
1
Norwich Wins
1
Draws
1
Burnley Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2022 | Norwich | 2 - 0 | Burnley |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Burnley | 0 - 0 | Norwich |
| 18 Jul 2020 | Norwich | 0 - 2 | Burnley |
Norwich — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Bolton | L | 3 - 4 |
| 17 Sep | A Manchester City | L | 5 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Middlesbrough | L | 4 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | H Birmingham | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Sheffield Utd | W | 1 - 3 |
Burnley — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Derby | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Swansea | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Wrexham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bristol City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Middlesbrough | D | 1 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
Weiß
14
Roberts
3
Alleyne
15
Ahmedhodžić
2
Walker
29
Laurent
28
Mejbri
12
Satpaev
21
Ramsey
7
Larsen
19
Flemming
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Weiß | G |
| 2 | K. Walker | D |
| 15 | A. Ahmedhodžić | D |
| 3 | Max Alleyne | D |
| 14 | C. Roberts | D |
| 28 | H. Mejbri | M |
| 29 | J. Laurent | M |
| 7 | J. Bruun Larsen | M |
| 21 | A. Ramsey | M |
| 12 | D. Satpaev | M |
| 19 | Z. Flemming | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | G. Coudert | G |
| 10 | M. Edwards | F |
| 18 | H. Ekdal | D |
| 17 | A. Hountondji | F |
| 8 | U. Raghouber | M |
| 20 | S. Sambo | D |
| 31 | M. Trésor | F |
| 4 | J. Worrall | D |
| 11 | Z. Amdouni | F |
Norwich
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
Kovačević
14
Chrisene
33
Córdoba
15
McConville
3
Stacey
23
McLean
7
Mattsson
49
Musaba
29
Schwartau
11
Brooks
21
Touré
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Kovačević | G |
| 3 | J. Stacey | D |
| 15 | Ruairi McConville | D |
| 33 | J. Córdoba | D |
| 14 | B. Chrisene | D |
| 7 | P. Mattsson | M |
| 23 | K. McLean | M |
| 11 | A. Brooks | M |
| 29 | O. Schwartau | M |
| 49 | A. Musaba | M |
| 21 | M. Touré | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Jacob Wright | M |
| 13 | D. Yongwa | D |
| 17 | A. Crnac | F |
| 6 | H. Darling | D |
| 19 | P. Diallo | F |
| 35 | K. Fisher | D |
| 32 | D. Grimshaw | G |
| 30 | M. Kvistgaarden | F |
| 20 | A. Ben Slimane | M |