Bristol City vs Portsmouth Prediction

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
AI call Bristol City or draw
41%
30%
29%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Bristol City vs Portsmouth prediction: Sportiko gives Bristol City a 41% chance of winning, Portsmouth 29% and the draw 30%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

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  • Home or Draw 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

L. Tolaj assist: Jed Wallace
31' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Rocco Robert Shein ⇄ Ebou Adams
HT 1–0
Rio Cardines Yellow Card
49' ▮
Jason Knight assist: Rio Cardines
56' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 63'
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen ⇄ H. Blair
⇄ 63'
Colby Bishop ⇄ Marko Milovanović
Jason Knight Yellow Card
67' ▮
Scott Twine ⇄ Sam Greenwood
68' ⇄
Jed Wallace ⇄ Tomi Horvat
68' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Benjamin Arthur
Yu Hirakawa ⇄ Cameron Pring
74' ⇄
L. Tolaj ⇄ Dominic Ballard
74' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Marlon Pack ⇄ John Swift
Rob Dickie Yellow Card
77' ▮
George Tanner ⇄ Noah Eile
85' ⇄
⚽ 2–1 90+5'
Marko Milovanović Penalty
FT 2–1
Bristol City

Match Stats

Portsmouth
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 10
1 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
321 Total passes 370
237 Passes accurate 281
6 Free Kicks 15
Bristol City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Jason Knight M 7.7 90' 1 – 2 39 (30%) 2
9 L. Tolaj F 7.6 74' 1 – 2 16 (10%) –
21 Rio Cardines D 7.2 90' – 1 1 28 (21%) 1
17 Jed Wallace M 7.2 68' – 1 – 16 (13%) 3
3 Cameron Pring D 7.0 16' – – – 2 (1%) –
14 Tomi Horvat M 6.9 22' – – – 2 (1%) 1
2 Lisav Naif Eissat D 6.8 90' – – – 31 (27%) –
16 Rob Dickie D 6.7 90' – – 2 52 (43%) 1
38 Noah Eile D 6.7 5' – – – 1 –
20 Sam Greenwood M 6.5 22' – – 1 1 (1%) –
10 Scott Twine M 6.5 68' – – 1 13 (10%) 1
7 Yu Hirakawa M 6.4 74' – – – 10 (7%) –
23 Dominic Ballard F 6.4 16' – – – 1 (1%) –
8 Joe Williams M 6.2 90' – – – 47 (38%) 1
19 George Tanner D 6.1 85' – – – 30 (22%) –
1 Sam Tickle G 5.9 90' – – – 29 (11%) –
Portsmouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Marko Milovanović F 7.4 27' 1 – 1 2 (1%) 1
10 Adrian Segečić M 6.7 90' – – 3 13 (11%) 1
6 Conor Shaughnessy D 6.5 90' – – 1 47 (37%) –
34 H. Blair F 6.5 27' – – – 3 (3%) –
22 Zak Swanson D 6.4 90' – – – 49 (42%) 1
38 Ebou Adams M 6.4 44' – – 1 19 (15%) 4
24 Terry Devlin D 6.3 90' – – 2 41 (32%) 1
25 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen M 6.2 63' – – 4 6 (2%) 1
9 Colby Bishop F 6.2 63' – – – 8 (3%) –
11 Abu Kamara M 6.1 90' – – 1 22 (17%) –
19 Rocco Robert Shein M 6.1 46' – – – 23 (19%) 2
7 Marlon Pack M 6.1 74' – – – 33 (28%) –
2 Benjamin Arthur D 6.0 69' – – – 35 (26%) –
1 Nicolas Schmid G 5.9 90' – – – 39 (22%) –
8 John Swift M 5.7 16' – – – 9 (7%) –
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean
Bristol City or draw
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Bristol City
WLLWW
Portsmouth
DDWLL
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
29%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bristol City
D. Ballard 3 gls
Portsmouth

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Bristol City vs Portsmouth

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Bristol City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Watford W 1 - 0
15 Sep H Lincoln L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Southampton L 4 - 1
05 Sep A Burnley W 1 - 2
01 Sep A Preston W 1 - 3

Portsmouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Blackburn D 2 - 2
12 Sep A Charlton D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Cardiff W 2 - 0
01 Sep H Derby L 0 - 2
29 Aug A Bristol City L 2 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Swansea
8 5 2 1 +7 17
2
West Ham
8 4 3 1 +11 15
3
Middlesbrough
8 4 3 1 +4 15
4
Wolves
7 4 2 1 +5 14
5
West Brom
8 4 2 2 +2 14
6
QPR
8 3 4 1 +3 13
7
Stoke City
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Bristol City
8 4 1 3 -1 13
9
Charlton
8 3 3 2 -3 12
10
Birmingham
8 2 5 1 +1 11
11
Millwall
8 3 2 3 0 11
12
Lincoln
8 3 2 3 -1 11
13
Southampton
8 4 2 2 +9 10
14
Wrexham
8 2 4 2 -3 10
15
Bolton
8 3 1 4 -4 10
16
Blackburn
8 2 3 3 0 9
17
Norwich
8 3 0 5 -1 9
18
Sheffield Utd
8 2 3 3 -2 9
19
Portsmouth
7 2 2 3 -1 8
20
Watford
8 2 2 4 -3 8
21
Cardiff
8 1 4 3 -2 7
22
Derby
8 1 2 5 -7 5
23
Preston
8 1 1 6 -7 4
24
Burnley
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Bristol City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Tickle
21 Cardines
2 Eissat
16 Dickie
19 Tanner
8 Williams
12 Knight
7 Hirakawa
10 Twine
17 Wallace
9 Tolaj

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Tickle G
19 G. Tanner D
16 R. Dickie D
2 L. Eissat D
21 Rio Cardines D
12 J. Knight M
8 J. Williams M
17 J. Wallace M
10 S. Twine M
7 Y. Hirakawa M
9 L. Tolaj F

Substitutes

5 R. Atkinson D
23 D. Ballard F
40 B. Collins G
38 N. Eile D
20 S. Greenwood M
14 T. Horvat M
3 C. Pring D
4 A. Randell M
27 G. Yah M

Portsmouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Schmid
22 Swanson
6 Shaughnessy
2 Arthur
24 Devlin
19 Shein
7 Pack
25 McQueen
10 Segecic
11 Kamara
9 Bishop

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Schmid G
24 T. Devlin D
2 Benjamin Arthur D
6 C. Shaughnessy D
22 Z. Swanson D
7 M. Pack M
19 R. Shein M
11 A. Kamara M
10 A. Segecic M
25 R. Kavuma McQueen M
9 C. Bishop F

Substitutes

31 D. Bielica G
34 H. Blair F
28 L. Brooke-Smith F
29 M. Milovanović F
5 R. Poole D
8 J. Swift M
27 O. Bailey M
38 E. Adams M

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