West Brom vs Burnley Prediction
FT
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
AI call
West Brom or draw
47%
27%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
West Brom vs Burnley prediction: Sportiko gives West Brom a 47% chance of winning, Burnley 26% and the draw 27%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 12:55.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
8'
Callum Styles
Own Goal
⚽
0–2
8'
Callum Styles
Own Goal
Harry Whitwell
18'
⚽
1–2
Harry Whitwell
18'
⚽
2–2
▮
26'
Oliver Sonne
Yellow Card
▮
26'
Oliver Sonne
Yellow Card
George Campbell
Yellow Card
33'
▮
George Campbell
Yellow Card
33'
▮
HT 1–1
Isaac Price
46'
⚽
3–2
Isaac Price
46'
⚽
4–2
⇄
46'
Oliver Sonne
⇄ Connor Roberts
⇄
46'
Oliver Sonne
⇄ Connor Roberts
⇄
57'
Hannibal Mejbri
⇄ Zeki Amdouni
⇄
57'
Armando Broja
⇄ Ugo Raghouber
⇄
57'
Josh Laurent
⇄ Dastan Satpaev
⇄
57'
Hannibal Mejbri
⇄ Zeki Amdouni
⇄
57'
Armando Broja
⇄ Ugo Raghouber
⇄
57'
Josh Laurent
⇄ Dastan Satpaev
Isaac Price
Penalty
65'
⚽
5–2
Isaac Price
Penalty
65'
⚽
6–2
▮
70'
Marcus Edwards
Yellow Card
▮
70'
Marcus Edwards
Yellow Card
⇄ Barney Stewart
78'
⇄
⇄
78'
Bashir Humphreys
⇄ Lucas Pires
⇄ Barney Stewart
78'
⇄
⇄
78'
Bashir Humphreys
⇄ Lucas Pires
Harry Whitwell
⇄ Rabby Nzingoula
81'
⇄
Harry Whitwell
⇄ Rabby Nzingoula
81'
⇄
Jayson Molumby
⇄ Chris Mepham
90+4'
⇄
Jayson Molumby
⇄ Chris Mepham
90+4'
⇄
FT 3–1
West Brom
Match Stats
Burnley
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.64
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
11
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots off Goal
3
2
Blocked Shots
4
9
Shots insidebox
5
2
Shots outsidebox
5
3
Corner Kicks
4
8
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
507
Total passes
478
446
Passes accurate
404
88%
Passes %
85%
-0.37
goals_prevented
-0.37
West Brom
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Harry Whitwell M | 8.9 | 73' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (23%) | – |
| 21 Isaac Price M | 8.3 | 73' | 2 | – | 4 | 38 (35%) | – |
| 1 Max O'Leary G | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | – |
| 25 Nolan Galves D | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | 4 |
| 3 Nathaniel Phillips D | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | – |
| 6 George Campbell D | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 76 (72%) | 2 |
| 17 Ousmane Diakité M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | 2 |
| 11 Jimmy Morgan F | 6.9 | 73' | – | 1 | – | 15 (14%) | 3 |
| 8 Jayson Molumby M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 60 (55%) | – |
| 7 Felix Horn Myhre F | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 4 Callum Styles D | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 1 |
Burnley
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Max Weiss G | 7.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 1 |
| 27 Armando Broja F | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 11 (5%) | 1 |
| 29 Josh Laurent M | 6.6 | 57' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 8 Ugo Raghouber M | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 2 Kyle Walker D | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 57 (53%) | 1 |
| 11 Zeki Amdouni F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Marcus Edwards M | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 7 Jacob Bruun Larsen M | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 21 Aaron Ramsey M | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 12 Dastan Satpaev F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 3 Max Alleyne D | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 64 (60%) | – |
| 28 Hannibal Mejbri M | 6.0 | 57' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | – |
| 14 Connor Roberts D | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 22 Oliver Sonne D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 6 Bashir Humphreys D | 5.3 | 73' | – | – | – | 41 (32%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (47%)
At a glance
Our lean
West Brom or draw
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West Brom
LDWWD
Burnley
DLDLD
Last 3 meetings
West Brom · 0W 2D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
West Brom
J. Morgan
3 gls
Burnley
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: West Brom vs Burnley
0
West Brom Wins
2
Draws
1
Burnley Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2021 | Burnley | 0 - 0 | West Brom |
| 19 Oct 2020 | West Brom | 0 - 0 | Burnley |
| 31 Mar 2018 | West Brom | 1 - 2 | Burnley |
West Brom — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Wolves | L | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H QPR | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Derby | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Watford | W | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | H Charlton | D | 1 - 1 |
Burnley — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Derby | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Swansea | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Wrexham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bristol City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Middlesbrough | D | 1 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Nicky Hayen
1
Weiss
6
Humphreys
3
Alleyne
2
Walker
22
Sonne
28
Mejbri
29
Laurent
7
Larsen
21
Ramsey
10
Edwards
27
Broja
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Weiss | G |
| 22 | Oliver Sonne | D |
| 2 | Kyle Walker | D |
| 3 | Max Alleyne | D |
| 6 | Bashir Humphreys | D |
| 29 | Josh Laurent | M |
| 28 | Hannibal Mejbri | M |
| 10 | Marcus Edwards | M |
| 21 | Aaron Ramsey | M |
| 7 | Jacob Bruun Larsen | M |
| 27 | Armando Broja | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | Connor Roberts | D |
| 8 | Ugo Raghouber | M |
| 11 | Zeki Amdouni | F |
| 12 | Dastan Satpaev | F |
| 37 | Grégoire Coudert | G |
| 15 | Anel Ahmedhodžić | D |
| 4 | Joe Worrall | D |
| 23 | Lucas Pires | D |
| 31 | Mike Trésor | F |
West Brom
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
O'Leary
4
Styles
6
Campbell
3
Phillips
25
Galves
21
Price
17
Diakité
8
Molumby
29
Whitwell
7
Myhre
11
Morgan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max O'Leary | G |
| 25 | Nolan Galves | D |
| 3 | Nathaniel Phillips | D |
| 6 | George Campbell | D |
| 4 | Callum Styles | D |
| 29 | Harry Whitwell | M |
| 8 | Jayson Molumby | M |
| 17 | Ousmane Diakité | M |
| 21 | Isaac Price | M |
| 7 | Felix Horn Myhre | F |
| 11 | Jimmy Morgan | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Matt Ingram | G |
| 28 | Alex Williams | D |
| 2 | Chris Mepham | D |
| 5 | Krystian Bielik | D |
| 22 | Conor Townsend | D |
| 20 | Rabby Nzingoula | M |
| 37 | Oliver Bostock | F |
| 9 | Barney Stewart | F |
| 23 | Tammer Bany | F |