Millwall vs Norwich Prediction
FT
The Den, London
AI call
Millwall or draw
47%
28%
25%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Millwall vs Norwich prediction: Sportiko gives Millwall a 47% chance of winning, Norwich 25% and the draw 28%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 13:23.
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Timeline
Tairyk Arconte
18'
⚽
1–0
▮
25'
José Córdoba
Yellow Card
▮
37'
Harry Darling
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
40'
▮
HT 1–0
Tairyk Arconte
assist: Jake Cooper
58'
⚽
2–0
⇄
60'
Kellen Fisher
⇄ Jack Stacey
⇄
60'
Sam Field
⇄ Pelle Mattsson
⇄
60'
Anis Ben Slimane
⇄ Papa Amadou Diallo
▮
64'
José Córdoba
Yellow Card
▮
64'
José Córdoba
Red Card
⇄
65'
Oscar Schwartau
⇄ Ruairi McConville
Tairyk Arconte
⇄ Zak Lovelace
71'
⇄
⇄
73'
Andre Brooks
⇄ Anthony Musaba
⇄ Daniel Kelly
77'
⇄
Kyrell Lisbie
⇄ Luke Cundle
78'
⇄
Josh Coburn
⇄ Lyndon Dykes
78'
⇄
Luke Cundle
assist: Camiel Neghli
84'
⚽
3–0
Casper De Norre
⇄ Jordi Osei-Tutu
86'
⇄
FT 3–0
Millwall
Match Stats
Norwich
52%
Ball Possession
48%
2.00
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
15
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
3
6
Blocked Shots
1
13
Shots insidebox
3
2
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Corner Kicks
0
9
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
264
Total passes
246
199
Passes accurate
176
75%
Passes %
72%
0.45
goals_prevented
0.45
Millwall
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Tairyk Arconte F | 8.5 | 71' | 2 | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 17 Mark Sykes D | 7.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 2 |
| 3 Zak Sturge D | 7.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | – |
| 5 Jake Cooper D | 7.2 | 71' | – | 1 | – | 40 (32%) | – |
| 10 Camiel Neghli M | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 1 Lukas Jensen G | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 24 Casper De Norre M | 7.0 | 71' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 3 |
| 19 Josh Coburn F | 7.0 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 12 (3%) | – |
| 14 Jenson Metcalfe M | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 29 (22%) | 4 |
| 6 Caleb Taylor D | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 22 Kyrell Lisbie F | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | – |
Norwich
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Vladan Kovačević G | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 24 (13%) | – |
| 6 Harry Darling D | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 26 Sam Field M | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 19 Papa Amadou Diallo F | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 21 Mohamed Touré F | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 23 Kenny McLean M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 38 (30%) | 1 |
| 7 Pelle Mattsson M | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 33 José Córdoba D | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
| 3 Jack Stacey D | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 29 Oscar Schwartau M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 20 Anis Ben Slimane M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 14 Ben Chrisene D | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 26 (15%) | 2 |
| 11 Andre Brooks M | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | 2 |
| 35 Kellen Fisher D | 5.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 3 |
| 15 Ruairi McConville D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (47%)
At a glance
Our lean
Millwall or draw
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Millwall
DDLLW
Norwich
LLLWW
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
25%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Millwall
L. Dykes
4 gls
Norwich
M. Touré
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Millwall vs Norwich
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Millwall — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H West Ham | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | A Middlesbrough | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Blackburn | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Newcastle | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bolton | W | 4 - 0 |
Norwich — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Bolton | L | 3 - 4 |
| 17 Sep | A Manchester City | L | 5 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Middlesbrough | L | 4 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | H Birmingham | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Sheffield Utd | W | 1 - 3 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Millwall
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: A. Neil
1
Jensen
3
Sturge
5
Cooper
6
Taylor
17
Sykes
14
Metcalfe
24
Norre
10
Neghli
7
Arconte
19
Coburn
22
Lisbie
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lukas Jensen | G |
| 17 | Mark Sykes | D |
| 6 | Caleb Taylor | D |
| 5 | Jake Cooper | D |
| 3 | Zak Sturge | D |
| 10 | Camiel Neghli | M |
| 24 | Casper De Norre | M |
| 14 | Jenson Metcalfe | M |
| 22 | Kyrell Lisbie | F |
| 19 | Josh Coburn | F |
| 7 | Tairyk Arconte | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | Max Crocombe | G |
| 23 | Danny Batth | D |
| 12 | Elkan Baggott | D |
| 2 | Jordi Osei-Tutu | D |
| 31 | Raees Bangura-Williams | M |
| 16 | Daniel Kelly | M |
| 25 | Luke Cundle | M |
| 29 | Zak Lovelace | F |
| 13 | Lyndon Dykes | F |
Norwich
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Clement
1
Kovačević
14
Chrisene
33
Córdoba
6
Darling
35
Fisher
26
Field
23
McLean
29
Schwartau
20
Slimane
11
Brooks
21
Touré
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladan Kovačević | G |
| 35 | Kellen Fisher | D |
| 6 | Harry Darling | D |
| 33 | José Córdoba | D |
| 14 | Ben Chrisene | D |
| 23 | Kenny McLean | M |
| 26 | Sam Field | M |
| 11 | Andre Brooks | M |
| 20 | Anis Ben Slimane | M |
| 29 | Oscar Schwartau | M |
| 21 | Mohamed Touré | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | Daniel Grimshaw | G |
| 15 | Ruairi McConville | D |
| 13 | Darlin Yongwa | D |
| 3 | Jack Stacey | D |
| 19 | Papa Amadou Diallo | F |
| 16 | Jacob Wright | M |
| 49 | Anthony Musaba | F |
| 7 | Pelle Mattsson | M |
| 30 | Mathias Kvistgaarden | F |