Stoke City vs Swansea Prediction
FT
AI call
Stoke City or draw
45%
29%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Stoke City vs Swansea prediction: Sportiko gives Stoke City a 45% chance of winning, Swansea 26% and the draw 29%. Last updated 15 Aug 2026, 15:58.
Premium picks
Premium- Home or Draw 74%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
Eric Bocat
assist: Tomáš Rigo
10'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
23'
assist: Žan Vipotnik
Luke Graham
Yellow Card
36'
▮
HT 1–1
⇄ Maksym Talovierov
46'
⇄
▮
53'
Filip Lissah
Yellow Card
⇄
55'
Filip Lissah
⇄ Josh Key
⇄
65'
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
⇄ Ji-sung Eom
⇄
65'
Žan Vipotnik
⇄ Adam Idah
⇄
65'
Elijah Just
⇄ Melker Widell
⚽
1–2
66'
Adam Idah
assist: Josh Tymon
Sam Gallagher
⇄ Róbert Boženík
70'
⇄
Tomáš Rigo
⇄ Jun-Ho Bae
70'
⇄
Svante Ingelsson
⇄ Djibril Soumaré
70'
⇄
⇄
84'
Jay Fulton
⇄ Leo Walta
▮
86'
Melker Widell
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Josh Tymon
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Stoke City
Match Stats
Swansea
41%
Ball Possession
59%
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
5
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
3
0
Blocked Shots
1
5
Shots insidebox
5
0
Shots outsidebox
2
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
265
Total passes
403
186
Passes accurate
300
70%
Passes %
74%
0.00
goals_prevented
0.00
Stoke City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Eric Bocat D | 7.0 | 92' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (21%) | 2 |
| 1 Viktor Johansson G | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 30 (20%) | – |
| 42 Million Manhoef M | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 27 Djibril Soumaré M | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 7 Sorba Thomas M | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | 1 |
| 16 Ben Wilmot D | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 23 (14%) | 2 |
| 40 Maksym Talovierov D | 6.5 | 47' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 19 Tomáš Rigo M | 6.5 | 70' | – | 1 | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 18 Bosun Lawal D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 8 Ethan Galbraith M | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | – |
| 6 Svante Ingelsson M | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | 2 |
| 5 Luke Graham D | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 39 (31%) | 2 |
| 9 Róbert Boženík F | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 10 Jun-Ho Bae M | 6.2 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 20 Sam Gallagher F | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | – | 9 (3%) | – |
Swansea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Joseph Opoku M | 7.9 | 92' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (20%) | 2 |
| 33 Adam Idah F | 7.3 | 27' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | 2 |
| 14 Josh Tymon D | 7.2 | 92' | – | 1 | – | 39 (34%) | 4 |
| 6 Marko Stamenić M | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 22 Lawrence Vigouroux G | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 37 (17%) | – |
| 5 Ben Cabango D | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | 1 |
| 4 Jay Fulton M | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | – | 47 (38%) | 1 |
| 8 Elijah Just M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 1 |
| 49 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | 2 |
| 2 Josh Key D | 6.7 | 37' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 21 Leo Walta M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 23 Stephen Welsh D | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | – |
| 9 Žan Vipotnik F | 6.6 | 65' | – | 1 | 1 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 10 Ji-sung Eom F | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 7 Melker Widell M | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 3 |
| 26 Filip Lissah D | 6.2 | 55' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
Stoke City or draw
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Stoke City
WWDWW
Swansea
WWLDW
Last 3 meetings
Stoke City · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Stoke City
E. Galbraith
3 gls
Swansea
A. Idah
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stoke City vs Swansea
2
Stoke City Wins
0
Draws
1
Swansea Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | Swansea | 1 - 0 | Stoke City |
| 13 May 2018 | Swansea | 1 - 2 | Stoke City |
| 02 Dec 2017 | Stoke City | 2 - 1 | Swansea |
Stoke City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Sheffield Utd | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Watford | W | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Cardiff | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Charlton | W | 4 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | H Norwich | W | 1 - 0 |
Swansea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Lincoln | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Burnley | W | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Southampton | L | 3 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Wrexham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | H Watford | W | 2 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Stoke City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Robins
1
Johansson
17
Bocat
5
Graham
18
Lawal
16
Wilmot
6
Ingelsson
8
Galbraith
7
Thomas
19
Rigo
42
Manhoef
20
Gallagher
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktor Johansson | G |
| 16 | Ben Wilmot | D |
| 18 | Bosun Lawal | D |
| 5 | Luke Graham | D |
| 17 | Eric Bocat | D |
| 8 | Ethan Galbraith | M |
| 6 | Svante Ingelsson | M |
| 42 | Million Manhoef | M |
| 19 | Tomáš Rigo | M |
| 7 | Sorba Thomas | M |
| 20 | Sam Gallagher | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | Maksym Talovierov | D |
| 27 | Djibril Soumaré | M |
| 10 | Jun-Ho Bae | M |
| 9 | Róbert Boženík | F |
| 24 | Joshua Griffiths | G |
| 23 | Ben Gibson | D |
| 43 | Freddie Anderson | D |
| 4 | Ben Pearson | M |
| 58 | Tyler Martin | F |
Swansea
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos
22
Vigouroux
14
Tymon
23
Welsh
5
Cabango
26
Lissah
4
Fulton
49
Yeo
6
Stamenić
8
Just
30
Opoku
9
Vipotnik
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lawrence Vigouroux | G |
| 26 | Filip Lissah | D |
| 5 | Ben Cabango | D |
| 23 | Stephen Welsh | D |
| 14 | Josh Tymon | D |
| 4 | Jay Fulton | M |
| 30 | Joseph Opoku | M |
| 8 | Elijah Just | M |
| 6 | Marko Stamenić | M |
| 49 | Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | M |
| 9 | Žan Vipotnik | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Josh Key | D |
| 7 | Melker Widell | M |
| 10 | Ji-sung Eom | F |
| 33 | Adam Idah | F |
| 1 | Andrew Fisher | G |
| 50 | Carter Heywood | D |
| 20 | Tiago Parente | D |
| 35 | Ronald | F |
| 21 | Leo Walta | M |