Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Queen's Park

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Ayr Utd

Away

AI call Ayr Utd or draw

31%

30%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd prediction: Sportiko gives Queen's Park a 31% chance of winning, Ayr Utd 39% and the draw 30%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 20:23.

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Away to Score 73%
1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

▮ 23'

Yellow Card

✗ 30'

Missed Penalty

⚽ 0–1 35'

Yellow Card

40' ▮

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

51' ⇄

Yellow Card

59' ▮

⚽ 0–2 62'

Josh Landers

62' ⇄

⇄ 65'

⇄ 70'

Thomas Hatton

⇄ 71'

Josh Landers

⇄ 84'

Olly Whyte

⇄ 84'

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

FT 0–2

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ayr Utd or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Queen's Park

LLWDL

Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Last 2 meetings Queen's Park · 1W 1D 0L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Ayr Utd leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.7%. Comeback chance: 1.3%.

63' Goal 85% sure

Ayr Utd now leads 0-2 with 96.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 51.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Ayr Utd leads. Win probability: 74.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.6%.

36' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Ayr Utd win: 73.2%. BTTS: 49.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

39%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ayr Utd goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	7	3	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Queen's Park goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

31%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

31%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	9.5%	7.4%	3.3%	1.1%
1	8.0%	14.5%	8.6%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.6%	7.4%	4.9%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.1%	2.8%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Queen's Park	Draw	Ayr Utd
Queen's Park	19.0%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	11.0%	19.4%	13.2%
Ayr Utd	1.5%	4.5%	25.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd

1 Queen's Park Wins

1 Draws

0 Ayr Utd Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Queen's Park	1 - 1	Ayr Utd
10 Mar 2026	Ayr Utd	1 - 2	Queen's Park

Queen's Park — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Ayr Utd	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Dunfermline	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Morton	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Partick	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Stenhousemuir	L	0 - 2

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.