Livingston vs Inverness CT Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Livingston

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 0

Inverness CT

Away

AI call Livingston or draw

48%

28%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Livingston vs Inverness CT prediction: Sportiko gives Livingston a 48% chance of winning, Inverness CT 24% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:53.

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Over 1.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Brooklyn Kabongolo

24' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 54'

⇄ Layton Stewart

⚽ 1–1 58'

⇄ Scott Pittman

66' ⇄

Liam Polworth ⇄ Stevie May

67' ⇄

⇄ 74'

⚽ 1–2 76'

⇄ Cristian Montaño

76' ⇄

Emmanuel Danso

77' ⇄

Robbie Muirhead

79' ⚽ 2–2

Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 86'

▮ 89'

Yellow Card

Robbie Muirhead Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 2–2

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean

Livingston or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Livingston

DWLLW

Inverness CT

DWLLD

Live insights

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 80.4%. Late goal chance: 20.8%.

79' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 74.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

77' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Inverness CT win probability: 82.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 31.4%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 68.2%. Late goal chance: 35.2%.

59' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 50.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

24%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inverness CT goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Livingston goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	6.0%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.9%	13.6%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.5%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Livingston	Draw	Inverness CT
Livingston	31.3%	4.6%	1.6%
Draw	16.1%	17.7%	9.6%
Inverness CT	2.1%	4.0%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Livingston vs Inverness CT

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Livingston — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Inverness CT	D	2 - 2
11 Sep	A Morton	W	1 - 4
04 Sep	H Stenhousemuir	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Arbroath	L	1 - 0
22 Aug	H Dunfermline	W	2 - 0

Inverness CT — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Livingston	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Ayr Utd	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Raith Rovers	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Stenhousemuir	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Partick	D	1 - 1

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.