Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Ayr Utd

Home

1 : 3

HT 1 - 2

Inverness CT

Away

Somerset Park, Ayr

AI call Ayr Utd or draw

37%

30%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT prediction: Sportiko gives Ayr Utd a 37% chance of winning, Inverness CT 33% and the draw 30%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 15:51.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
Home to Score 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Away to Score 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 4'

⚽ 0–2 19'

27' ⚽ 1–2

HT 1–2

▮ 53'

Yellow Card

Olly Whyte

67' ⇄

Thomas Hatton ⇄ Josh Landers

67' ⇄

⇄ 68'

⚽ 1–3 72'

assist: Graeme Shinnie

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

▮ 79'

Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

86' ⇄

Yellow Card

88' ▮

⇄ 89'

FT 1–3

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ayr Utd or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Inverness CT

DWLLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inverness CT goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ayr Utd goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	8.2%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.7%	14.5%	7.9%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.8%	8.3%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%
3	2.9%	3.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ayr Utd	Draw	Inverness CT
Ayr Utd	24.0%	5.3%	2.2%
Draw	12.2%	19.0%	13.5%
Inverness CT	1.5%	3.8%	18.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Inverness CT — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Livingston	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Ayr Utd	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Raith Rovers	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Stenhousemuir	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Partick	D	1 - 1

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.