Arbroath vs Dunfermline Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Arbroath

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Dunfermline

Away

Gayfield Park, Arbroath

AI call Arbroath or draw

35%

31%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Arbroath vs Dunfermline prediction: Sportiko gives Arbroath a 35% chance of winning, Dunfermline 34% and the draw 31%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:54.

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Home to Score 70%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

HT 0–0

▮ 53'

Yellow Card

54' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 62'

⚽ 1–1 67'

71' ⇄

▮ 80'

Yellow Card

81' ⇄

⇄ 82'

⇄ 86'

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean

Arbroath or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Arbroath

LLDWW

Dunfermline

WWDWL

Last 1 meetings Arbroath · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dunfermline goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Arbroath goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	9.1%	6.4%	2.6%	0.8%
1	9.3%	14.8%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.7%	7.9%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.7%	3.2%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline
Arbroath	18.8%	3.9%	1.5%
Draw	15.1%	20.2%	13.0%
Dunfermline	2.2%	4.9%	20.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arbroath vs Dunfermline

0 Arbroath Wins

0 Draws

1 Dunfermline Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 May 2026	Dunfermline	1 - 0	Arbroath

Arbroath — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Raith Rovers	L	4 - 0
05 Sep	H Dunfermline	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Livingston	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Morton	W	1 - 2

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Morton	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Queen's Park	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Arbroath	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Raith Rovers	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Livingston	L	2 - 0

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.