Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Stenhousemuir

Home

3 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Inverness CT

Away

Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

AI call Too close to call

37%

28%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT prediction: Sportiko gives Stenhousemuir a 37% chance of winning, Inverness CT 36% and the draw 28%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:56.

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Over 1.5 Goals 75%

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Timeline

23' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 45'

HT 1–0

50' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 52'

57' ⚽ 3–1

59' ⇄

⇄ 66'

⇄ 67'

Yellow Card

70' ▮

▮ 70'

Yellow Card

▮ 70'

Graeme Shinnie Yellow Card

73' ⇄

▮ 76'

Yellow Card

76' ⇄

⇄ 79'

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

FT 3–1

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Stenhousemuir

WWLWW

Inverness CT

DWLLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

36%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inverness CT goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	10	10	5	1
3	6	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Stenhousemuir goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

36%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

36%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	5.5%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.0%	13.1%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.4%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	5.8%	5.4%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.4%	2.3%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stenhousemuir	Draw	Inverness CT
Stenhousemuir	28.5%	3.5%	1.2%
Draw	22.8%	17.9%	8.8%
Inverness CT	3.0%	4.2%	10.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Stenhousemuir — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arbroath	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Partick	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	0 - 3
04 Sep	A Livingston	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Inverness CT	W	3 - 1

Inverness CT — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Livingston	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Ayr Utd	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Raith Rovers	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Stenhousemuir	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Partick	D	1 - 1

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1