Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Prediction

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AI call Raith Rovers or draw
35%
29%
37%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Dunfermline a 35% chance of winning, Raith Rovers 37% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Aug 2026, 20:26.

Premium picks

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Away to Score 73%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 73%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⇄ 14'
⇄ Jack Baird
Sam Cleall-Harding Yellow Card
30' ▮
HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
⇄ 60'
⇄ 60'
62' ⇄
69' ⇄
69' ⇄
▮ 79'
Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
Yellow Card
84' ▮
85' ⇄
85' ⇄
88' ⚽ 1–0
FT 1–0
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean
Raith Rovers or draw
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Dunfermline
DWWWW
Raith Rovers
DDWLD
Last 3 meetings Dunfermline · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Dunfermline faces Raith Rovers in a Championship clash, both teams seeking crucial points early in the season. Historically, matches between these two are closely contested, with their last five encounters resulting in two wins for each team and one draw. Dunfermline will leverage their attacking capabilities, having scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in recent fixtures, while Raith Rovers will rely on their solid defense, conceding less than a goal per match on average. The outcome will likely hinge on which team can impose their style and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
37%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers

1 Dunfermline Wins
1 Draws
1 Raith Rovers Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Nov 2026 Raith Rovers 0 - 0 Dunfermline
14 Mar 2026 Dunfermline 2 - 0 Raith Rovers
08 May 2021 Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Dunfermline
See all 4 meetings — Premium

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Raith Rovers D 0 - 0
03 Nov A Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic W 2 - 4
31 Oct H Inverness CT W 5 - 1
27 Oct A Stenhousemuir W 0 - 1
24 Oct A Queen's Park W 0 - 1

Raith Rovers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Dunfermline D 0 - 0
03 Nov A Hamilton Academical D 1 - 1
31 Oct A Arbroath W 0 - 4
24 Oct H Inverness CT L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Stenhousemuir D 1 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Partick
14 8 4 2 +11 28
2
Raith Rovers
14 7 4 3 +11 25
3
Dunfermline
14 6 7 1 +8 25
4
Stenhousemuir
14 7 2 5 0 23
5
Livingston
14 6 3 5 +7 21
6
Inverness CT
14 5 5 4 +1 20
7
Ayr Utd
13 4 3 6 -4 15
8
Arbroath
14 4 2 8 -12 14
9
Morton
13 4 1 8 -7 13
10
Queen's Park
14 2 1 11 -15 7

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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