Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 2

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

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Dunfermline

Home

14:00

08 Aug 2026

Ayr Utd

Away

AI call Dunfermline or draw

44%

28%

Home Win · 2.09 Draw · 3.30 Away Win · 3.70

Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd prediction: Sportiko gives Dunfermline a 44% chance of winning, Ayr Utd 28% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Dunfermline

DWWWW

Ayr Utd

WWWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ayr Utd goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	6	12	8	4	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	4	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Dunfermline goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

28%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

28%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	4.9%	4.5%	2.2%	0.8%
1	6.1%	12.1%	7.7%	3.7%	1.3%
2	6.3%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	1.1%
3	3.6%	5.2%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%
4	1.5%	2.2%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dunfermline	Draw	Ayr Utd
Dunfermline	25.1%	4.0%	1.6%
Draw	15.0%	15.1%	9.6%
Ayr Utd	3.2%	5.5%	20.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Inverness CT	D	0 - 0
26 Jul	A ST Mirren	W	0 - 1
21 Jul	H Cove Rangers	W	5 - 0
14 Jul	H Dumbarton	W	4 - 1
05 May	H Arbroath	W	1 - 0

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Arbroath	W	2 - 0
25 Jul	H Alloa Athletic	W	4 - 1
18 Jul	H Edinburgh City	W	2 - 0
14 Jul	A Falkirk	W	0 - 1
30 Jun	H Dumbarton	W	3 - 0

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	0	3	0	+3	6
2	Ayr Utd	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
3	Livingston	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
4	Raith Rovers	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
5	Stenhousemuir	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
6	Inverness CT	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
7	Dunfermline	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
8	Morton	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Queen's Park	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
10	Arbroath	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.