Metz vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 22

19 Feb 2027, 19:00

Post on X

Montpellier

Away

AI call Too close to call

35%

30%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Metz vs Montpellier prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 35% chance of winning, Montpellier 35% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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73% 73% 71% 71% 73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Metz

DLWDD

Montpellier

DWLDW

Last 3 meetings Metz · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Ligue 2 clash, Metz will face Montpellier with both teams aiming for crucial points in their pursuit of promotion. Metz, known for their solid defensive record, will need to neutralize Montpellier's attacking threats, particularly their top scorer, who has been pivotal in recent matches. Montpellier's away form has been inconsistent, which could prove detrimental in this encounter. Overall, the match is likely to be tightly contested, with both teams needing to capitalize on their chances to secure a vital victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Montpellier goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	6	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

Montpellier

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

35%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

35%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	8.6%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
1	8.6%	14.6%	8.1%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.4%	8.1%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.7%	3.4%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Metz	Draw	Montpellier
Metz	20.5%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	13.5%	19.4%	13.5%
Montpellier	1.9%	4.5%	20.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Metz vs Montpellier

0 Metz Wins

1 Draws

2 Montpellier Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Feb 2024	Montpellier	3 - 0	Metz
17 Dec 2023	Metz	0 - 1	Montpellier
01 May 2022	Montpellier	2 - 2	Metz

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Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.