Saint Etienne vs Metz Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 21

12 Feb 2027, 19:00

Post on X

Metz

Away

AI call Too close to call

45%

28%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Saint Etienne vs Metz prediction: Sportiko gives Saint Etienne a 45% chance of winning, Metz 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Saint Etienne

DLWWW

Metz

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Saint Etienne · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, Saint Etienne will face Metz in what is expected to be a closely contested encounter. Saint Etienne has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match at home this season, while Metz struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams have had mixed results lately, but Saint Etienne's attacking prowess could prove decisive. Metz will need to tighten their defense to avoid dropping points in this critical clash.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

27%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	9	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Saint Etienne goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Saint Etienne

I. Cardona 4 gls

A. Boakye 4 gls

T. Ballo 4 gls

J. Breum 2 gls

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	6.0%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%
1	8.7%	13.5%	6.9%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.4%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.3%	5.0%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.7%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Saint Etienne	Draw	Metz
Saint Etienne	27.9%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	16.2%	17.3%	10.4%
Metz	2.4%	4.4%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Saint Etienne vs Metz

1 Saint Etienne Wins

2 Draws

0 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Metz	2 - 2	Saint Etienne
02 Jun 2024	Metz	2 - 2	Saint Etienne
30 May 2024	Saint Etienne	2 - 1	Metz

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Saint Etienne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Metz	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Dunkerque	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Montpellier	W	3 - 1
31 Aug	A Dijon	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H Grenoble	W	4 - 0

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.