Nantes vs Metz Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 17

15 Jan 2027, 19:00

Post on X

Metz

Away

AI call Nantes or draw

36%

33%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nantes vs Metz prediction: Sportiko gives Nantes a 36% chance of winning, Metz 32% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Nantes

WLWDL

Metz

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Nantes · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Nantes will face Metz in a Ligue 2 clash on January 15, 2027. Nantes has shown stronger form at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 12 goals in their last 10 matches. Conversely, Metz struggles on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game away from home. This match could hinge on Nantes' ability to exploit Metz's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive solidity. Expect a tactical battle, with Nantes likely favoring possession to control the pace of the game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	7	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Nantes goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Nantes

W. Younoussa 2 gls

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

33%

Away Win

32%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

33%

Away Win

32%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 32% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.1%	10.1%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.1%	15.2%	7.1%	2.5%	0.7%
2	7.2%	7.6%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.7%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nantes	Draw	Metz
Nantes	20.9%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	14.3%	22.1%	13.0%
Metz	1.6%	4.2%	18.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nantes vs Metz

0 Nantes Wins

1 Draws

2 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Apr 2026	Metz	0 - 0	Nantes
02 Nov 2025	Nantes	0 - 2	Metz
03 Mar 2024	Nantes	0 - 2	Metz

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.