Metz vs Nancy Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

02 Jan 2027, 19:00

Post on X

Nancy

Away

AI call Too close to call

46%

30%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Metz vs Nancy prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 46% chance of winning, Nancy 24% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Metz

DLWDD

Nancy

WLLWW

Last 2 meetings Metz · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will face Nancy in what is expected to be a competitive match. Metz has shown a solid home record, while Nancy struggles with consistency on the road. Key players for Metz, particularly in midfield, will aim to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities. Conversely, Nancy will need to tighten their defense to withstand Metz's attacking threats. A closely contested match is anticipated, with both sides eager to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nancy goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

Nancy

P. Meïssa Ba 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.1%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%
1	11.4%	14.2%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.1%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.5%	4.4%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Metz	Draw	Nancy
Metz	28.2%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	17.2%	19.5%	9.8%
Nancy	2.1%	4.2%	13.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Metz vs Nancy

1 Metz Wins

0 Draws

1 Nancy Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Apr 2017	Metz	2 - 1	Nancy
30 Nov 2016	Nancy	4 - 0	Metz

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Nancy — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Rodez	W	3 - 4
11 Sep	H Reims	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Nantes	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
21 Aug	A PAU	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.