Montpellier vs Guingamp Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

02 Jan 2027, 19:00

Post on X

Guingamp

Away

AI call Too close to call

52%

32%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Montpellier vs Guingamp prediction: Sportiko gives Montpellier a 52% chance of winning, Guingamp 16% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.5%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Montpellier

DWLDW

Guingamp

LWDDL

Last 3 meetings Montpellier · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Montpellier faces Guingamp in a Ligue 2 clash on January 2, 2027. Montpellier has shown a strong home record historically, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. Analyzing their recent form, Montpellier has maintained solid defensive stability, averaging just 1.2 goals conceded per match in the last five games. Guingamp, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, with an average of only 0.8 goals scored per match during the same period. This suggests that Montpellier may have the upper hand if they can capitalize on their defensive solidity and exploit Guingamp's attacking weaknesses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Guingamp goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	16	7	3	1
1	17	13	4	1
2	13	8	2
3	6	3	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Montpellier goals · most likely 1–0 (17.5%)

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Players in form

Montpellier

No scorer data.

Guingamp

B. Bokangu 4 gls

D. Gomis 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

32%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

32%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.9%	7.4%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
1	17.5%	13.3%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%
2	12.6%	7.8%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
3	5.5%	3.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.8%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Montpellier	Draw	Guingamp
Montpellier	31.4%	3.3%	0.7%
Draw	20.3%	23.2%	7.4%
Guingamp	1.6%	3.4%	8.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Montpellier vs Guingamp

1 Montpellier Wins

2 Draws

0 Guingamp Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Apr 2019	Montpellier	2 - 0	Guingamp
06 Oct 2018	Guingamp	1 - 1	Montpellier
17 Feb 2018	Montpellier	1 - 1	Guingamp

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Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Guingamp — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Annecy	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Reims	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H Nantes	D	3 - 3
21 Aug	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.