Sochaux vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 15

11 Dec 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Montpellier

Away

AI call Too close to call

39%

29%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sochaux vs Montpellier prediction: Sportiko gives Sochaux a 39% chance of winning, Montpellier 33% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Sochaux

DWDDW

Montpellier

DWLDW

Last 3 meetings Sochaux · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, Sochaux will face Montpellier. Sochaux has shown a strong defensive record this season, averaging 1.1 goals conceded per match, while Montpellier has struggled on the road, scoring only 0.9 goals per away game. Both teams have similar possession stats, averaging around 52%, but Sochaux's ability to capitalize on set pieces could be a deciding factor. Montpellier will need to improve their conversion rate, which currently stands at 8% on the road, to secure a positive result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Montpellier goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Sochaux goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.8%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
1	7.6%	13.6%	8.0%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.6%	8.8%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.2%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sochaux	Draw	Montpellier
Sochaux	23.1%	4.5%	2.0%
Draw	14.3%	17.4%	12.2%
Montpellier	2.3%	4.7%	19.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sochaux vs Montpellier

0 Sochaux Wins

0 Draws

3 Montpellier Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2014	Sochaux	0 - 2	Montpellier
24 Aug 2013	Montpellier	2 - 1	Sochaux
26 Jan 2013	Montpellier	2 - 0	Sochaux

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Sochaux — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Laval	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Nantes	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A PAU	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Clermont Foot	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Guingamp	W	1 - 0

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.