Boulogne vs PAU Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 14

04 Dec 2026, 19:00

Post on X

PAU

Away

AI call Too close to call

42%

31%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Boulogne vs PAU prediction: Sportiko gives Boulogne a 42% chance of winning, PAU 26% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Boulogne

LDDDD

PAU

WLDDL

Match summary

In this upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Boulogne hosts PAU, with both teams looking to solidify their standings. Boulogne has shown a mixed form at home, averaging 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.5, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. PAU, on the other hand, has been more consistent away, with a solid defensive record and an average of 1.3 goals scored per game. With both teams seeking crucial points, the match could hinge on Boulogne's ability to exploit their home ground while PAU aims to maintain their defensive solidity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

26%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PAU goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	8	5	2
1	12	15	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Boulogne goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Boulogne

No scorer data.

PAU

B. Leye 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	8.3%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
1	11.6%	14.7%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.7%	8.5%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%
3	3.8%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Boulogne	Draw	PAU
Boulogne	25.5%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	16.3%	20.8%	10.9%
PAU	1.9%	4.2%	15.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Boulogne vs PAU

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Boulogne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Nantes	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	A Clermont Foot	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Dijon	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Montpellier	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H RED Star FC 93	D	1 - 1

PAU — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Montpellier	L	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Sochaux	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Rodez	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	H Nancy	L	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.