Montpellier vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 14

04 Dec 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Nantes

Away

AI call Too close to call

42%

33%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Montpellier vs Nantes prediction: Sportiko gives Montpellier a 42% chance of winning, Nantes 25% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Montpellier

DWLDW

Nantes

WLWDL

Last 3 meetings Montpellier · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Ligue 2 clash, Montpellier will face Nantes, both teams looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses. Montpellier has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match while conceding just over 1, indicating a need for defensive stability. Nantes, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, with a tendency to drop points away from home. Key players for both sides will be crucial in influencing the match outcome, particularly in midfield battles and set-piece situations. Expect a competitive encounter with potential playoff implications for both teams.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nantes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	9	5	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Montpellier goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Montpellier

No scorer data.

Nantes

W. Younoussa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

33%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

33%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	9.1%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.1%	14.9%	5.9%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.0%	8.1%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%
3	3.7%	3.3%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Montpellier	Draw	Nantes
Montpellier	25.0%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	16.5%	22.5%	10.8%
Nantes	1.7%	4.0%	14.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Montpellier vs Nantes

0 Montpellier Wins

1 Draws

2 Nantes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2025	Nantes	3 - 0	Montpellier
31 Aug 2024	Montpellier	1 - 3	Nantes
26 Apr 2024	Montpellier	1 - 1	Nantes

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Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.