Metz vs PAU Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11

30 Oct 2026, 19:00

Post on X

PAU

Away

AI call Too close to call

41%

30%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Metz vs PAU prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 41% chance of winning, PAU 29% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Metz

DLWDD

PAU

WLDDL

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will host PAU. Metz has shown a solid home record, leveraging their tactical approach and possession-based play, which could pressure PAU's defense. Conversely, PAU has struggled in away matches, often failing to convert opportunities into goals. Key players to watch include Metz's leading scorer, whose finishing ability will be crucial, and PAU's defense, which must adapt to the attacking threat. Both teams will be aiming for crucial points to solidify their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PAU goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2	1
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

PAU

B. Leye 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	7.5%	5.2%	1.9%	0.6%
1	9.6%	14.3%	7.2%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.8%	8.8%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.6%	4.1%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Metz	Draw	PAU
Metz	24.9%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	15.3%	19.0%	11.4%
PAU	2.1%	4.4%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Metz vs PAU

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

PAU — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Montpellier	L	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Sochaux	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Rodez	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	H Nancy	L	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.