Dunkerque vs Metz Prediction
Stade Marcel-Tribut, Dunkerque
AI call
Metz or draw
33%
27%
40%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Dunkerque vs Metz prediction: Sportiko gives Dunkerque a 33% chance of winning, Metz 40% and the draw 27%. Last updated 23 Oct 2026, 19:54.
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- 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
9'
Pape Moussa Fall
▮
15'
Yellow Card
HT 0–1
J. Morel
Yellow Card
49'
▮
⇄
60'
⇄ Nathan Mbala
J. Morel
Red Card
61'
▮
Opa Sangante
Missed Penalty
65'
✗
Opa Sangante
65'
⚽
1–1
Souleymane Keita
⇄ Khalil Ayari
66'
⇄
Théna Massock
⇄ Steven N'Zonzi
66'
⇄
G. Robail
⇄ A. Nade
73'
⇄
Abner
⇄ Victor Mayela
73'
⇄
⇄
81'
Giorgi Abuashvili
⇄ A. Agne Ba
⇄
81'
Bouna Sarr
⇄ Bryan Song
▮
90'
Cristian Castro
Yellow Card
Adrien Lebeau
⇄ Franck Atoen
90+1'
⇄
A. Nade
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 1–1
Dunkerque
Match Stats
Metz
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.58
Expected Goals (xG)
1.2
15
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
8
7
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
9
6
Shots outsidebox
4
2
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
4
503
Total passes
388
429
Passes accurate
320
18
Free Kicks
9
Dunkerque
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Moha Ramos G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | – |
| 26 Opa Sangante D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 91 (84%) | 2 |
| 7 Khalil Ayari F | 7.2 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 Adrien Lebeau M | 6.8 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 42 (35%) | 1 |
| 2 Ousmane Touré D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (77%) | – |
| 18 Théna Massock M | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 22 (20%) | – |
| 30 Abner D | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | – |
| 27 Allan Linguet D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (57%) | 1 |
| 19 Souleymane Keita M | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 20 (12%) | 1 |
| 9 G. Robail F | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 14 (10%) | – |
| 15 Steven N'Zonzi M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | – |
| 23 A. Nade F | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 22 Victor Mayela D | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | – |
| 6 J. Morel M | 6.1 | 61' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | – |
| 11 Egor Prutsev M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 17 (13%) | 2 |
Metz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Pape Moussa Fall F | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (19%) | – |
| 1 Jonathan Fischer G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (21%) | – |
| 10 Teji Savanier M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 62 (50%) | 2 |
| 88 A. Agne Ba F | 7.0 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 4 Urie-Michel Mboula D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | 1 |
| 42 Cristian Castro D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 22 Nathan Mbala F | 6.8 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | 2 |
| 8 Jessy Deminguet M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 3 |
| 9 Giorgi Abuashvili M | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 4 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 39 Bryan Song D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 3 Florian Miguel D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (18%) | 1 |
| 98 Idris Mohamed M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 3 |
| 70 Bouna Sarr D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.1 | 60' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Metz or draw
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Dunkerque
WLDWL
Metz
WLDWL
Match summary
In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Dunkerque will face Metz. Dunkerque has struggled this season, sitting in the lower half of the table, with a goal difference of -10, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Metz has shown stronger form, currently in the playoff positions, with a solid defense allowing only 12 goals this season. The matchup will hinge on Dunkerque's ability to penetrate Metz's defensive line while improving their own defensive stability. Both teams will be eager for points, making this an intriguing contest.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
40%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Dunkerque
E. Prutsev
3 gls
S. Keita
3 gls
Metz
P. Fall
8 gls
J. Deminguet
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Dunkerque vs Metz
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Dunkerque — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Guingamp | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Oct | A Rodez | L | 1 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | H Metz | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Nantes | W | 2 - 3 |
| 09 Oct | H Annecy | L | 0 - 1 |
Metz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Montpellier | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Oct | H PAU | L | 1 - 3 |
| 23 Oct | A Dunkerque | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Sochaux | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Oct | A Dijon | L | 4 - 2 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 |
Nancy
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 |
Montpellier
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 |
Reims
|
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
PAU
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |
Dijon
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Metz
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |
RED Star FC 93
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Annecy
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 |
Dunkerque
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Boulogne
|
12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Clermont Foot
|
12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 |
Sochaux
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Grenoble
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
Dunkerque
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Albert Sánchez
73
Airam
30
Abner
2
Touré
26
Sanganté
27
Linguet
18
Massock
6
Morel
11
Prutsev
10
Lebeau
19
Keita
9
Robail
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Moha Airam | G |
| 27 | A. Linguet | D |
| 26 | Opa Sanganté | D |
| 2 | O. Touré | D |
| 30 | Abner | D |
| 6 | J. Morel | M |
| 18 | Théna Massock | M |
| 19 | S. Keita | M |
| 10 | A. Lebeau | M |
| 11 | E. Prutsev | M |
| 9 | G. Robail | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | L. Loussilaho | D |
| 7 | K. Ayari | F |
| 25 | Franck Atoen | M |
| 42 | M. Makhloufi | D |
| 22 | V. Mayela | D |
| 94 | E. Mayilla | F |
| 23 | A. Nade | F |
| 15 | S. Nzonzi | M |
| 16 | M. Prévot | G |
Metz
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Tamás Bódog
1
Fischer
3
Miguel
4
Mboula
42
Devenish
70
Sarr
98
Mohamed
9
Abuashvili
10
Savanier
8
Deminguet
33
Mbodj
11
Fall
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Fischer | G |
| 70 | B. Sarr | D |
| 42 | C. Devenish | D |
| 4 | U. Mboula | D |
| 3 | F. Miguel | D |
| 98 | I. Mohamed | M |
| 33 | Abdourahmane Mbodj | M |
| 8 | J. Deminguet | M |
| 10 | T. Savanier | M |
| 9 | G. Abuashvili | M |
| 11 | P. Fall | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Tahirys Dos Santos | D |
| 2 | M. Colin | D |
| 88 | A. Agne Ba | F |
| 22 | N. Mbala | F |
| 18 | B. Munongo | M |
| 7 | Ibou Sané | F |
| 39 | B. Song | D |
| 61 | P. Sy | G |
| 12 | A. Touré | M |