Sochaux vs Boulogne Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8

09 Oct 2026, 18:00

Post on X

Boulogne

Away

AI call Too close to call

47%

28%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction: Sportiko gives Sochaux a 47% chance of winning, Boulogne 25% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Sochaux

DWDDW

Boulogne

LDDDD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Sochaux will face Boulogne. Sochaux has shown a solid home form, with a recent average of 1.8 goals scored per match at home, while maintaining a defensive record of conceding just 0.9 goals. Boulogne, however, has struggled on the road, averaging only 0.7 goals scored in away matches and conceding 1.5. The contrasting home and away performances suggest Sochaux may have the upper hand in this encounter, potentially capitalizing on Boulogne's vulnerabilities. Key players to watch include Sochaux's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Boulogne's defense, which will need to tighten up to avoid defeat.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Boulogne goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	1
1	9	13	7	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Sochaux goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	5.8%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.3%	13.4%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.7%	9.6%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.7%	5.1%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sochaux	Draw	Boulogne
Sochaux	29.3%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	17.0%	17.3%	9.8%
Boulogne	2.4%	4.3%	14.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sochaux vs Boulogne

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Sochaux — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Laval	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Nantes	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A PAU	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Clermont Foot	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Guingamp	W	1 - 0

Boulogne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Nantes	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	A Clermont Foot	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Dijon	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Montpellier	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H RED Star FC 93	D	1 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.