Montpellier vs Grenoble Prediction
Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
AI call
Difficult Montpellier win or draw
57%
26%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Montpellier vs Grenoble prediction: Sportiko gives Montpellier a 57% chance of winning, Grenoble 16% and the draw 26%. Last updated 9 Oct 2026, 19:57.
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Timeline
▮
4'
Yohann Magnin
Yellow Card
Nicolas Pays
33'
⚽
1–0
Julien Laporte
Yellow Card
43'
▮
HT 1–0
⇄
56'
Clément Vidal
⇄ Farouq Limouri
Nordan Mukiele
Yellow Card
65'
▮
Noah Vidal
⇄ Daryll Benlahlou
69'
⇄
Daylam Meddah
⇄ Yael Mouanga
69'
⇄
⇄
71'
Y. Maçon
⇄ Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
⇄
71'
Yohann Magnin
⇄ Lucas Bernadou
A. Sissoko
Yellow Card
72'
▮
Théo Chennahi
⇄ Hichem Abderrebi
79'
⇄
A. Sissoko
⇄ Naoufel El Hannach
80'
⇄
⇄
83'
Samba Diba
⇄ Kyliann Fofana
⇄
83'
Ugo Bonnet
⇄ M. Djitté
▮
85'
Farouq Limouri
Yellow Card
Nordan Mukiele
⇄ Y. Benhattab
85'
⇄
▮
87'
Mael Corboz
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Baptiste Mouazan
Yellow Card
Mamadou Camara
assist: Daryll Benlahlou
90+1'
⚽
2–0
FT 2–0
Montpellier
Match Stats
Grenoble
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
19
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots off Goal
5
6
Blocked Shots
5
12
Shots insidebox
11
7
Shots outsidebox
3
7
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
19
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
471
Total passes
366
414
Passes accurate
305
19
Free Kicks
11
Montpellier
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | – |
| 18 Nicolas Pays M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 11 Mamadou Camara F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 15 Julien Laporte D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (64%) | 6 |
| 17 Théo Sainte-Luce D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (30%) | 3 |
| 23 Daryll Benlahlou F | 7.1 | 21' | – | 1 | 2 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 58 A. Sissoko D | 7.1 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 44 Théo Chennahi M | 7.0 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | 2 |
| 27 Daylam Meddah D | 6.9 | 69' | – | – | – | 68 (65%) | 1 |
| 32 Hichem Abderrebi M | 6.8 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 5 Florian Tardieu M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 10 Y. Benhattab M | 6.7 | 5' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 3 |
| 3 Naoufel El Hannach D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 40 Noah Vidal M | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | 5 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 6 Yael Mouanga D | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 19 Nordan Mukiele M | 6.4 | 85' | – | – | 4 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
Grenoble
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Ugo Bonnet F | 6.8 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 14 Mael Corboz M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 1 |
| 5 Clément Vidal D | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | – | 24 (24%) | – |
| 43 Aurelien Pelon D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (38%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexandre Olliero G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | – |
| 30 Samba Diba M | 6.4 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 27 Matthéo Xantippe D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (35%) | 1 |
| 47 Kyliann Fofana F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 2 M. Djitté F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 10 Baptiste Mouazan M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 8 Lucas Bernadou M | 6.1 | 19' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 92 Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro M | 6.1 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 97 Y. Maçon D | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 3 Farouq Limouri D | 5.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 3 |
| 6 Yohann Magnin M | 5.8 | 71' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | – |
| 19 Nesta Zahui M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (7%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Montpellier win or draw
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Montpellier
LWWWW
Grenoble
WLLLL
Match summary
Montpellier faces Grenoble in a crucial Ligue 2 clash. Montpellier has shown strong form at home, with a current average of 1.8 goals scored per game, while Grenoble's away record reveals a struggle to maintain defensive solidity, conceding an average of 1.5 goals on the road. Both teams are vying for promotion, with Montpellier currently positioned higher in the league standings, giving them a psychological edge. However, Grenoble’s recent uptick in performance could challenge Montpellier's dominance. Expect a competitive match with tactical adjustments likely from both sides.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Montpellier
N. Pays
5 gls
Lacine Megnan-Pave
4 gls
Grenoble
U. Bonnet
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Montpellier vs Grenoble
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Montpellier — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Metz | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A Annecy | W | 0 - 3 |
| 26 Oct | H RED Star FC 93 | W | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Oct | A Rodez | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Oct | H Grenoble | W | 2 - 0 |
Grenoble — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Reims | W | 3 - 2 |
| 30 Oct | H Dijon | L | 1 - 3 |
| 23 Oct | A PAU | L | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Boulogne | L | 0 - 2 |
| 09 Oct | A Montpellier | L | 2 - 0 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 |
Nancy
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 |
Montpellier
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 |
Reims
|
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
PAU
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |
Dijon
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Metz
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |
RED Star FC 93
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Annecy
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 |
Dunkerque
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Boulogne
|
12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Clermont Foot
|
12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 |
Sochaux
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Grenoble
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
Montpellier
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Z. Camara
31
Ngapandouetnbu
17
Sainte-Luce
27
Meddah
15
Laporte
58
Sissoko
5
Tardieu
40
Vidal-Cartoux
19
Mukiele
44
Chennahi
18
Pays
11
Camara
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | S. Ngapandouetnbu | G |
| 58 | A. Sissoko | D |
| 15 | J. Laporte | D |
| 27 | D. Meddah | D |
| 17 | T. Sainte-Luce | D |
| 40 | N. Vidal-Cartoux | M |
| 5 | F. Tardieu | M |
| 18 | N. Pays | M |
| 44 | T. Chennahi | M |
| 19 | N. Mukiele | M |
| 11 | M. Camara | F |
Substitutes
| 90 | Gregory Ayem | M |
| 32 | Hichem Abderrebi | M |
| 10 | Y. Benhattab | M |
| 23 | Daryll Benlahlou | F |
| 3 | Naoufel El Hannach | D |
| 1 | M. Michel | G |
| 6 | Y. Mouanga | D |
| 77 | Everson | M |
Grenoble
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: O. Frapolli
1
Olliero
27
Xantippe
5
Vidal
43
Pelon
97
Maçon
6
Magnin
10
Mouazan
14
Corboz
30
Diba
19
Zahui
12
Bonnet
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Olliero | G |
| 97 | Y. Maçon | D |
| 43 | A. Pelon | D |
| 5 | C. Vidal | D |
| 27 | M. Xantippe | D |
| 6 | Y. Magnin | M |
| 19 | N. Zahui | M |
| 30 | S. Diba | M |
| 14 | M. Corboz | M |
| 10 | B. Mouazan | M |
| 12 | U. Bonnet | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | L. Bernadou | M |
| 16 | B. Allain | G |
| 92 | J. Akpa Akpro | M |
| 17 | L. Cerri | F |
| 23 | D. Hoogewerf | F |
| 2 | M. Djitté | F |
| 47 | K. Fofana | F |
| 21 | Owen Kouassi | D |
| 3 | F. Limouri | D |