Saint Etienne vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
AI call Difficult Saint Etienne win or draw
59%
24%
17%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier prediction: Sportiko gives Saint Etienne a 59% chance of winning, Montpellier 17% and the draw 24%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 20:03.

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Timeline

Maxime Bernauer assist: Irvin Cardona
41' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 42'
Mamadou Camara Yellow Card
Augustine Boakye Yellow Card
45' ▮
⚽ 1–1 45+5'
Daylam Meddah assist: Nordan Mukiele
HT 1–1
Augustine Boakye assist: T. Svetlin
49' ⚽ 2–1
Maxime Bernauer ⇄ Benjamin Old
58' ⇄
▮ 59'
Y. El Hannach Yellow Card
Yellow Card
59' ▮
Thierno Ballo ⇄ Joshua Duffus
64' ⇄
Zuriko Davitashvili ⇄ M. Jaber
65' ⇄
▮ 67'
Daylam Meddah Yellow Card
⇄ 70'
Hichem Abderrebi ⇄ J. Hatchi
Joshua Duffus assist: Irvin Cardona
71' ⚽ 3–1
⇄ 71'
Y. El Hannach ⇄ Théo Chennahi
Augustine Boakye ⇄ Jakob Breum
76' ⇄
Kevin Pedro ⇄ João Ferreira
77' ⇄
⇄ 79'
Daylam Meddah ⇄ Gregory Ayem
⇄ 79'
Laciné Megnan-Pave ⇄ Mamadou Camara
⇄ 84'
Nicolas Pays ⇄ Noah Vidal
FT 3–1
Saint Etienne

Match Stats

Montpellier
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
430 Total passes 523
362 Passes accurate 466
20 Free Kicks 18
Saint Etienne
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 T. Svetlin M 7.6 90' – 1 – 52 (47%) 3
6 Maxime Bernauer D 7.5 58' 1 – 1 38 (34%) –
17 Joshua Duffus F 7.3 26' 1 – 1 7 (6%) –
14 Áron Csongvai M 7.1 90' – – 1 64 (58%) 3
18 Sohaib Nair D 7.1 90' – – – 62 (59%) 3
7 Irvin Cardona F 7.1 90' – 2 3 23 (12%) –
20 Augustine Boakye M 7.0 76' 1 – 3 26 (18%) 2
26 Julien Le Cardinal D 6.9 90' – – – 39 (36%) 2
30 Gautier Larsonneur G 6.6 90' – – – 14 (11%) –
5 M. Jaber M 6.5 25' – – 1 17 (15%) 1
11 Benjamin Old F 6.4 32' – – – 13 (9%) –
23 Kevin Pedro D 6.4 77' – – – 19 (12%) 1
10 Jakob Breum M 6.3 14' – – – 11 (10%) –
13 João Ferreira D 6.3 13' – – – 7 (6%) –
22 Zuriko Davitashvili M 6.0 65' – – 1 25 (19%) 1
8 Thierno Ballo M 5.9 64' – – 1 12 (10%) –
Montpellier
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Daylam Meddah M 7.7 79' 1 – 1 33 (31%) 1
5 Florian Tardieu M 6.7 90' – – – 79 (71%) –
15 Julien Laporte D 6.6 90' – – – 92 (84%) 1
39 J. Hatchi F 6.6 20' – – 1 12 (11%) 2
19 Nordan Mukiele M 6.5 90' – 1 1 21 (14%) 3
18 Nicolas Pays M 6.4 84' – – 2 28 (26%) 2
6 Yael Mouanga D 6.4 90' – – – 65 (62%) –
11 Mamadou Camara F 6.4 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
17 Théo Sainte-Luce D 6.3 90' – – – 54 (49%) 3
9 Laciné Megnan-Pave F 6.2 79' – – 1 5 (4%) –
90 Gregory Ayem M 6.0 11' – – – 7 (5%) 1
31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G 5.9 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
40 Noah Vidal M 5.9 6' – – – 3 (3%) –
44 Théo Chennahi M 5.9 19' – – – 23 (19%) –
3 Y. El Hannach D 5.9 71' – – – 54 (47%) 1
32 Hichem Abderrebi M 5.6 70' – – – 8 (6%) –
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Saint Etienne win or draw
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Saint Etienne
DLWWW
Montpellier
DWLDW
Last 3 meetings Saint Etienne · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Saint Etienne will face Montpellier. Saint Etienne has shown a strong offensive performance this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Montpellier has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank among the top in the league for corner kicks per game. Given their respective form, this match could hinge on the effectiveness of Saint Etienne's attack against Montpellier's defense. The contest is expected to be closely contested, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Saint Etienne
I. Cardona 4 gls
A. Boakye 4 gls
T. Ballo 4 gls
J. Breum 2 gls
Montpellier

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Saint Etienne vs Montpellier

3 Saint Etienne Wins
0 Draws
0 Montpellier Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Mar 2025 Montpellier 0 - 2 Saint Etienne
23 Nov 2024 Saint Etienne 1 - 0 Montpellier
05 Feb 2022 Saint Etienne 3 - 1 Montpellier
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Saint Etienne — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Metz D 2 - 2
12 Sep A Dunkerque L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Montpellier W 3 - 1
31 Aug A Dijon W 2 - 3
22 Aug H Grenoble W 4 - 0

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Reims D 1 - 1
11 Sep H PAU W 1 - 0
05 Sep A Saint Etienne L 3 - 1
28 Aug H Boulogne D 0 - 0
21 Aug A Dunkerque W 0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
7 5 1 1 +11 16
2
RED Star FC 93
7 4 2 1 +2 14
3
Reims
7 3 4 0 +6 13
4
Montpellier
7 3 3 1 +1 12
5
Metz
7 2 4 1 +3 10
6
Nancy
7 3 1 3 +1 10
7
Annecy
7 3 1 3 0 10
8
Sochaux
7 2 4 1 -1 10
9
Dijon
7 2 3 2 0 9
10
PAU
7 2 2 3 0 8
11
Guingamp
7 2 2 3 -2 8
12
Dunkerque
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Grenoble
7 2 2 3 -3 8
14
Rodez
7 2 1 4 -2 7
15
Nantes
7 2 1 4 -4 7
16
Clermont Foot
7 0 6 1 -2 6
17
Boulogne
7 0 5 2 -2 5
18
Laval
7 1 2 4 -6 5

Montpellier

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Z. Camara
31 Ngapandouetnbu
17 Sainte-Luce
6 Mouanga
15 Laporte
3 Hannach
27 Meddah
19 Mukiele
5 Tardieu
18 Pays
32 Abderrebi
9 Megnan-Pave

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 Y. El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 Y. Mouanga D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
27 D. Meddah M
32 Hichem Abderrebi M
18 N. Pays M
5 F. Tardieu M
19 N. Mukiele M
9 Lacine Megnan-Pave F

Substitutes

90 Gregory Ayem M
23 Daryll Benlahlou F
11 M. Camara F
44 T. Chennahi M
39 J. Hatchi F
1 M. Michel G
77 Everson M
40 N. Vidal-Cartoux M
12 Oscar Etoundi Eyen D

Saint Etienne

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
30 Larsonneur
6 Bernauer
18 Nair
26 Cardinal
23 Pedro
14 Csongvai
16 Svetlin
8 Ballo
22 Davitashvili
20 Boakye
7 Cardona

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 G. Larsonneur G
23 K. Pedro D
26 J. Le Cardinal D
18 S. Nair D
6 M. Bernauer D
16 T. Svetlin M
14 Á. Csongvai M
20 A. Boakye M
22 Z. Davitashvili M
8 T. Ballo M
7 I. Cardona F

Substitutes

11 B. Old F
31 N. El Jamali M
32 Adam Baallal M
10 J. Breum M
15 Chico Lamba D
13 João Ferreira D
5 M. Jaber M
17 J. Duffus F
1 Mamour Ndiaye G

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