Guingamp vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp
AI call Nantes or draw
33%
30%
36%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Guingamp vs Nantes prediction: Sportiko gives Guingamp a 33% chance of winning, Nantes 36% and the draw 30%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 20:00.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

S. Ben Brahim assist: Jérémie Matumona
9' 1–0
Donatien Gomis assist: Teddy Averlant
15' 2–0
2–1 22'
Wilitty Younoussa assist: Bahereba Guirassy
33'
Frédéric Guilbert Yellow Card
HT 2–1
2–2 49'
Wilitty Younoussa
Stanislas Kielt ⇄ Amadou Samoura
58'
V. Muntu Wa Mungu ⇄ Tuomas Ollila
58'
Florent Sanchez Da Silva ⇄ Tom Ducrocq
59'
Jérémie Matumona ⇄ Erwin Koffi
68'
Teddy Averlant ⇄ J. Chamakh
68'
71'
Wilitty Younoussa ⇄ Ryad Hachem
79'
Dehmaine Tabibou ⇄ Antoine Joujou
2–3 85'
Antoine Joujou assist: Lucas Perrin
88'
Mathieu Cafaro ⇄ Louis Leroux
88'
Frédéric Guilbert ⇄ Malang Gomes
Donatien Gomis Yellow Card
90+8'
Dylan Louiserre Missed Penalty
90+8'
Donatien Gomis
90+8' 3–3
FT 3–3
Guingamp

Match Stats

Nantes
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 11
4 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 10
9 Shots outsidebox 9
1 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
338 Total passes 488
272 Passes accurate 422
20 Free Kicks 11
Guingamp
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Donatien Gomis D 8.0 90' 2 2 53 (49%) 1
20 S. Ben Brahim M 7.1 90' 1 2 11 (8%) 1
18 Stanislas Kielt F 7.0 58' 1 10 (8%) 1
8 Florent Sanchez Da Silva F 6.9 59' 1 11 (8%) 1
11 Teddy Averlant M 6.7 68' 1 2 7 (5%) 1
17 Amadou Samoura F 6.6 32' 1 3 (2%)
23 J. Chamakh F 6.5 22' 6 (6%) 1
4 Dylan Louiserre M 6.4 90' 1 43 (35%) 3
21 Tanguy Ahile M 6.4 90' 1 25 (21%) 1
36 Albin Demouchy D 6.3 90' 48 (37%) 1
5 Tuomas Ollila D 6.2 32' 2 9 (7%)
3 Jérémie Matumona D 6.1 68' 1 18 (15%)
16 Adrián Ortolá G 6.0 90' 59 (41%)
2 Erwin Koffi D 5.9 22' 9 (8%)
25 Tom Ducrocq M 5.9 31' 1 7 (5%)
39 V. Muntu Wa Mungu D 5.8 58' 19 (17%) 1
Nantes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Wilitty Younoussa M 8.5 71' 2 2 39 (34%) 3
7 Antoine Joujou F 8.1 11' 1 1 6 (5%)
11 Bahereba Guirassy F 7.0 90' 1 2 22 (19%)
5 Lucas Perrin D 7.0 90' 1 1 85 (78%)
1 Maxime Dupé G 6.8 90' 32 (23%)
98 Kelvin Amian D 6.5 90' 3 36 (34%)
4 Saïdou Sow D 6.5 90' 1 71 (67%)
8 Johann Lepenant M 6.3 90' 1 31 (29%) 3
28 Ibrahima Sissoko M 6.3 90' 3 44 (38%) 5
17 Dehmaine Tabibou M 6.3 79' 2 25 (20%) 2
20 Mathieu Cafaro M 6.1 88' 3 41 (31%)
24 Frédéric Guilbert D 6.0 88' 45 (35%) 3
26 Ryad Hachem D 5.9 19' 7 (5%)
19 Louis Leroux M 5.8 2' 2 (2%)
67 Malang Gomes M 5.8 2' 2 (2%) 1
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean
Nantes or draw
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Guingamp
LWDDL
Nantes
WLWDL
Last 3 meetings Guingamp · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Ligue 2 clash, Guingamp will face Nantes in what promises to be a competitive matchup. Guingamp has shown a mixed form this season, sitting mid-table with a modest scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game, while Nantes has struggled to find consistency, averaging just 1 goal per game. Defensively, both teams have vulnerabilities, with Guingamp conceding 1.5 goals per match and Nantes slightly better at 1.3. Set-pieces and offensive transitions will be crucial, as both teams look to exploit defensive weaknesses. Overall, this match could hinge on which side can capitalize on their chances more effectively.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
36%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Guingamp
B. Bokangu 4 gls
D. Gomis 2 gls
Nantes
W. Younoussa 2 gls

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Head to Head: Guingamp vs Nantes

0 Guingamp Wins
1 Draws
2 Nantes Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Mar 2019 Guingamp 0 - 0 Nantes
04 Nov 2018 Nantes 5 - 0 Guingamp
27 Jan 2018 Guingamp 0 - 3 Nantes
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Guingamp — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H RED Star FC 93 L 1 - 3
12 Sep H Annecy W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Reims D 2 - 2
29 Aug H Nantes D 3 - 3
21 Aug A Sochaux L 1 - 0

Nantes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Boulogne W 1 - 2
12 Sep A Sochaux L 1 - 0
07 Sep H Nancy W 1 - 0
29 Aug A Guingamp D 3 - 3
22 Aug H Rodez L 2 - 5

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
7 5 1 1 +11 16
2
RED Star FC 93
7 4 2 1 +2 14
3
Reims
7 3 4 0 +6 13
4
Montpellier
7 3 3 1 +1 12
5
Metz
7 2 4 1 +3 10
6
Nancy
7 3 1 3 +1 10
7
Annecy
7 3 1 3 0 10
8
Sochaux
7 2 4 1 -1 10
9
Dijon
7 2 3 2 0 9
10
PAU
7 2 2 3 0 8
11
Guingamp
7 2 2 3 -2 8
12
Dunkerque
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Grenoble
7 2 2 3 -3 8
14
Rodez
7 2 1 4 -2 7
15
Nantes
7 2 1 4 -4 7
16
Clermont Foot
7 0 6 1 -2 6
17
Boulogne
7 0 5 2 -2 5
18
Laval
7 1 2 4 -6 5

Guingamp

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: S. Ripoll
16 Ortolá
39 Mungu
36 Demouchy
7 Gomis
3 Matumona
20 Brahim
4 Louiserre
21 Ahile
11 Averlant
8 Silva
18 Kielt

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Adrián Ortolá G
3 J. Matumona D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
39 V. Muntu Wa Mungu D
11 T. Averlant M
21 T. Ahile M
4 D. Louiserre M
20 S. Ben Brahim M
18 S. Kielt F
8 F. Da Silva F

Substitutes

17 A. Samoura F
1 T. Bartouche G
24 J. Dianganga D
25 T. Ducrocq M
2 E. Koffi D
5 T. Ollila D
35 N. Fondja D
23 J. Chamakh F
38 E. Aucan M

Nantes

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Randin Rande
1 Dupé
98 Amian
4 Sow
5 Perrin
24 Guilbert
28 Sissoko
20 Cafaro
8 Lepenant
23 Younoussa
17 Assoumani
11 Guirassy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Dupé G
24 F. Guilbert D
5 L. Perrin D
4 S. Sow D
98 K. Amian D
28 I. Sissoko M
17 D. Assoumani M
23 W. Younoussa M
8 J. Lepenant M
20 M. Cafaro M
11 Bahereba Guirassy F

Substitutes

69 Sacha Ziani M
78 T. Tati D
16 A. Mirbach G
19 Louis Leroux M
7 A. Joujou F
67 Diockoumalang Gomes M
52 B. Deuff M
26 R. Hachem D

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