Montpellier vs Boulogne Prediction
AI call
Difficult Montpellier win or draw
56%
27%
17%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Montpellier vs Boulogne prediction: Sportiko gives Montpellier a 56% chance of winning, Boulogne 17% and the draw 27%. Last updated 28 Aug 2026, 19:54.
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Timeline
▮
20'
Benjamin Besic
Yellow Card
Florian Tardieu
Yellow Card
23'
▮
Florian Tardieu
Missed Penalty
29'
✗
Naoufel El Hannach
Yellow Card
41'
▮
HT 0–0
▮
51'
Théo Brusco
Yellow Card
Noah Vidal
⇄ Gregory Ayem
60'
⇄
Nordan Mukiele
⇄ Yanis Issoufou
61'
⇄
⇄
63'
Joffrey Bultel
⇄ Jonas Martin
⇄
63'
Aurelien Platret
⇄ Aymane Nassiri
⇄
74'
Benjamin Besic
⇄ Noah Fatar
⇄
74'
Theo Epailly
⇄ Mohamed Soumah
▮
80'
Théo Brusco
Yellow Card
▮
80'
Théo Brusco
Red Card
⇄
83'
Mohamed Soumah
⇄ Adrien Pinot
Naoufel El Hannach
⇄ Daryll Benlahlou
90+2'
⇄
FT 0–0
Montpellier
Match Stats
Boulogne
67%
Ball Possession
33%
Expected Goals (xG)
10
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
7
4
Shots off Goal
3
1
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
7
3
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
7
Goalkeeper Saves
5
506
Total passes
251
424
Passes accurate
163
84%
Passes %
65%
goals_prevented
Montpellier
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G | 7.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | – |
| 27 Daylam Meddah D | 7.9 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 107 (98%) | 1 |
| 18 Nicolas Pays M | 7.9 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 15 Julien Laporte D | 7.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 94 (88%) | – |
| 17 Théo Sainte-Luce D | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 59 (46%) | 3 |
| 32 Hichem Abderrebi M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 7 Yanis Issoufou F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | 1 |
| 19 Nordan Mukiele M | 6.5 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 90 Gregory Ayem M | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 5 Florian Tardieu M | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | 3 |
| 3 Naoufel El Hannach D | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 46 (36%) | 1 |
| 40 Noah Vidal M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 9 Laciné Megnan-Pave F | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 8 (2%) | – |
Boulogne
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Blondy Nna Noukeu G | 9.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 27 (13%) | – |
| 21 Aurelien Platret D | 7.3 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 21 (12%) | 5 |
| 25 Antoine Kerriou D | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 2 |
| 20 Théo Brusco D | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 33 (30%) | 4 |
| 19 Nolan Binet M | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 31 (18%) | 3 |
| 14 Joffrey Bultel M | 6.9 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | 4 |
| 18 Demba Thiam D | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 64 Theo Epailly M | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 8 Jonas Martin M | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 7 Aymane Nassiri M | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 10 Abdel Hbouch F | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | 5 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 17 Benjamin Besic F | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 12 (5%) | 1 |
| 12 Julien Boyer D | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 29 (14%) | 2 |
| 36 Mohamed Soumah M | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 Noah Fatar F | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Montpellier win or draw
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Montpellier
DWLDW
Boulogne
LDDDD
Match summary
In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Montpellier will face Boulogne. Montpellier has demonstrated a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings, while Boulogne has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match in the same period. The home team will look to capitalize on their attacking form, while Boulogne needs to strengthen their defense to keep the match competitive. Key players to watch include Montpellier's top scorer, who has netted four goals in the last three matches, and Boulogne's goalkeeper, who will be crucial in mitigating the attacking threats. Overall, Montpellier enters the match as favorites based on recent performance metrics.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
17%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Montpellier vs Boulogne
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Montpellier — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Reims | D | 1 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | H PAU | W | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Saint Etienne | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Boulogne | D | 0 - 0 |
| 21 Aug | A Dunkerque | W | 0 - 1 |
Boulogne — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Nantes | L | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | A Clermont Foot | D | 0 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | H Dijon | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | A Montpellier | D | 0 - 0 |
| 21 Aug | H RED Star FC 93 | D | 1 - 1 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |
RED Star FC 93
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Montpellier
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |
Metz
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |
Nancy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |
Annecy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sochaux
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Dijon
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |
PAU
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |
Dunkerque
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Grenoble
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Rodez
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Clermont Foot
|
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |
Boulogne
|
7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
Montpellier
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Z. Camara
31
Ngapandouetnbu
17
Sainte-Luce
27
Meddah
15
Laporte
3
Hannach
32
Abderrebi
5
Tardieu
19
Mukiele
40
Vidal
18
Pays
9
Megnan-Pave
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Simon Ngapandouetnbu | G |
| 3 | Naoufel El Hannach | D |
| 15 | Julien Laporte | D |
| 27 | Daylam Meddah | D |
| 17 | Théo Sainte-Luce | D |
| 5 | Florian Tardieu | M |
| 32 | Hichem Abderrebi | M |
| 18 | Nicolas Pays | M |
| 40 | Noah Vidal | M |
| 19 | Nordan Mukiele | M |
| 9 | Laciné Megnan-Pave | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Mathieu Michel | G |
| 34 | Tidiane Diallo | D |
| 35 | Mathis Chambon | D |
| 7 | Yanis Issoufou | F |
| 77 | Everson Junior | M |
| 90 | Gregory Ayem | M |
| 23 | Daryll Benlahlou | F |
Boulogne
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: F. Dagneaux
99
Noukeu
12
Boyer
20
Brusco
25
Kerriou
18
Thiam
21
Platret
64
Epailly
19
Binet
14
Bultel
17
Besic
10
Hbouch
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Blondy Nna Noukeu | G |
| 21 | Aurelien Platret | D |
| 18 | Demba Thiam | D |
| 25 | Antoine Kerriou | D |
| 20 | Théo Brusco | D |
| 12 | Julien Boyer | D |
| 14 | Joffrey Bultel | M |
| 19 | Nolan Binet | M |
| 64 | Theo Epailly | M |
| 10 | Abdel Hbouch | F |
| 17 | Benjamin Besic | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Xavier Lenogue | G |
| 4 | Jonathan Kapenga | D |
| 26 | Oscar Lenne | D |
| 15 | Adrien Pinot | D |
| 8 | Jonas Martin | M |
| 28 | Sohan Paillard | M |
| 11 | Noah Fatar | F |
| 7 | Aymane Nassiri | M |
| 36 | Mohamed Soumah | M |