Nantes vs Rodez Prediction
AI call
Nantes or draw
43%
29%
28%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nantes vs Rodez prediction: Sportiko gives Nantes a 43% chance of winning, Rodez 28% and the draw 29%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 13:59.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
Killian Corredor
assist: Mathieu Cafaro
4'
⚽
1–0
▮
7'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
Yellow Card
⚽
1–1
15'
Ibrahima Baldé
assist: Ryan Ponti
Killian Corredor
assist: Wilitty Younoussa
24'
⚽
2–1
Killian Corredor
⇄ Dehmaine Tabibou
45+3'
⇄
HT 2–1
⚽
2–2
47'
Ryan Ponti
Mathieu Cafaro
Yellow Card
55'
▮
⇄
63'
Ryan Ponti
⇄ Evan’s Jean-Lambert
⇄
63'
Damjan Pavlović
⇄ Octave Joly
▮
68'
Jordan Mendes Correia
Yellow Card
Ibrahima Sissoko
⇄ Bahmed Deuff
69'
⇄
Johann Lepenant
⇄ Louis Leroux
69'
⇄
Mathieu Cafaro
⇄ Moustapha Dabo
69'
⇄
⚽
2–3
71'
Ibrahima Baldé
assist: Raphaël Lipinski
⚽
2–4
72'
Ibrahima Baldé
assist: Raphaël Lipinski
▮
73'
Ibrahima Baldé
Yellow Card
⇄
74'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
⇄ Steven Luyambula Biwa
⇄
74'
Ibrahima Baldé
⇄ Kenny Nagera
Wilitty Younoussa
Yellow Card
76'
▮
⇄
86'
Mathis Touho
⇄ Nachon Nsingi
Bahereba Guirassy
⇄ Doumbia Koné
87'
⇄
⚽
2–5
90+5'
Saïdou Sow
Own Goal
FT 2–5
Nantes
Match Stats
Rodez
59%
Ball Possession
41%
Expected Goals (xG)
13
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
8
4
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots insidebox
10
4
Shots outsidebox
6
4
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
498
Total passes
333
435
Passes accurate
274
87%
Passes %
82%
goals_prevented
Nantes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Killian Corredor F | 8.6 | 48' | 2 | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 20 Mathieu Cafaro M | 7.5 | 69' | – | 1 | – | 26 (17%) | 3 |
| 23 Wilitty Younoussa M | 7.3 | 94' | – | 1 | 1 | 43 (34%) | – |
| 28 Ibrahima Sissoko M | 6.9 | 69' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | 1 |
| 19 Louis Leroux M | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 5 Lucas Perrin D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 68 (65%) | – |
| 8 Johann Lepenant M | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | 3 |
| 24 Frédéric Guilbert D | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | 2 |
| 47 Moustapha Dabo F | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 52 Bahmed Deuff M | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | – |
| 11 Bahereba Guirassy M | 6.2 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 4 Saïdou Sow D | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 58 (56%) | 1 |
| 98 Kelvin Amian D | 6.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 61 (54%) | 1 |
| 17 Dehmaine Tabibou M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 1 Maxime Dupé G | 5.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 34 (31%) | – |
| 49 Doumbia Koné F | — | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
Rodez
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Ibrahima Baldé F | 10.0 | 74' | 3 | – | 4 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 3 Raphaël Lipinski D | 7.7 | 94' | – | 2 | 2 | 55 (49%) | 2 |
| 24 Loni Laurent D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | 1 |
| 29 Antonin Cartillier M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 20 Ryan Ponti D | 7.2 | 63' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 (14%) | 3 |
| 28 Steven Luyambula Biwa D | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 15 Evan’s Jean-Lambert D | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 16 Lucas Margueron G | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 22 Octave Joly M | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 7 Kenny Nagera F | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 4 Mathis Magnin D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | 2 |
| 6 Jordan Mendes Correia M | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | – |
| 8 Damjan Pavlović M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 13 Corentin Issanchou Roubiou D | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 2 |
| 9 Nachon Nsingi F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 11 Mathis Touho F | 5.9 | 86' | – | – | 3 | 10 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Nantes or draw
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Nantes
WLWDL
Rodez
LLLDW
Match summary
Nantes will face Rodez in a Ligue 2 clash on August 22, 2026. Nantes has shown solid form with a robust attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Rodez has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces, as Nantes boasts a higher conversion rate from corners. Tactical adjustments from Rodez's manager will be crucial to counter Nantes' offensive threats. The outcome could hinge on Nantes’ ability to maintain possession and control the midfield.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
28%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nantes
W. Younoussa
2 gls
Rodez
I. Baldé
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nantes vs Rodez
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Nantes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Boulogne | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Sochaux | L | 1 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | H Nancy | W | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Guingamp | D | 3 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | H Rodez | L | 2 - 5 |
Rodez — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Nancy | L | 3 - 4 |
| 11 Sep | H Grenoble | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Metz | L | 4 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H PAU | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Nantes | W | 2 - 5 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |
RED Star FC 93
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Montpellier
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |
Metz
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |
Nancy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |
Annecy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sochaux
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Dijon
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |
PAU
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |
Dunkerque
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Grenoble
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Rodez
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Clermont Foot
|
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |
Boulogne
|
7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
Rodez
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: D. Santini
16
Margueron
20
Ponti
3
Lipinski
4
Magnin
24
Laurent
13
Roubiou
29
Cartillier
8
Pavlović
6
Correia
11
Touho
18
Baldé
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lucas Margueron | G |
| 13 | Corentin Issanchou Roubiou | D |
| 24 | Loni Laurent | D |
| 4 | Mathis Magnin | D |
| 3 | Raphaël Lipinski | D |
| 20 | Ryan Ponti | D |
| 6 | Jordan Mendes Correia | M |
| 8 | Damjan Pavlović | M |
| 29 | Antonin Cartillier | M |
| 18 | Ibrahima Baldé | F |
| 11 | Mathis Touho | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Enzo Crombez | G |
| 17 | Luzolo Vangi Vungele | D |
| 5 | Clément Jolibois | D |
| 15 | Evan’s Jean-Lambert | D |
| 28 | Steven Luyambula Biwa | D |
| 22 | Octave Joly | M |
| 9 | Nachon Nsingi | F |
| 7 | Kenny Nagera | F |
Nantes
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Michel Der Zakarian
1
Dupé
98
Amian
5
Perrin
4
Sow
24
Guilbert
28
Sissoko
11
Guirassy
23
Younoussa
8
Lepenant
20
Cafaro
12
Corredor
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxime Dupé | G |
| 24 | Frédéric Guilbert | D |
| 4 | Saïdou Sow | D |
| 5 | Lucas Perrin | D |
| 98 | Kelvin Amian | D |
| 28 | Ibrahima Sissoko | M |
| 20 | Mathieu Cafaro | M |
| 8 | Johann Lepenant | M |
| 23 | Wilitty Younoussa | M |
| 11 | Bahereba Guirassy | M |
| 12 | Killian Corredor | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | Dehmaine Tabibou | M |
| 16 | Alexis Mirbach | G |
| 65 | Hugo Lamy | D |
| 78 | Tylel Tati | D |
| 52 | Bahmed Deuff | M |
| 19 | Louis Leroux | M |
| 47 | Moustapha Dabo | F |
| 49 | Doumbia Koné | F |
| 99 | Mohamed Camara | F |