Club Queretaro vs Necaxa Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 17

23 Nov 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Necaxa

Away

AI call Difficult Necaxa win or draw

16%

28%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Club Queretaro vs Necaxa prediction: Sportiko gives Club Queretaro a 16% chance of winning, Necaxa 56% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Club Queretaro

DWWLD

Necaxa

LLDLD

Last 2 meetings Club Queretaro · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Club Queretaro will host Necaxa in what promises to be a competitive Liga MX match. Queretaro has shown improved form recently, with a solid home record that could play a crucial role. Conversely, Necaxa has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, averaging fewer goals scored per match. Both teams will aim to capitalize on defensive weaknesses, but Queretaro's stronger home performance could give them the edge in this matchup. Expect a tactical battle as both sides seek crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Necaxa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	14	12	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	3	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Club Queretaro goals · most likely 0–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Club Queretaro

S. Homenchenko 4 gls

A. Ávila 3 gls

Necaxa

J. Carranza 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

28%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

28%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

78% Away (No Draw) 22% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.4%	14.1%	12.3%	6.5%	2.6%
1	5.8%	13.1%	9.1%	4.8%	1.9%
2	2.7%	4.3%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
3	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Club Queretaro	Draw	Necaxa
Club Queretaro	8.8%	3.6%	2.0%
Draw	7.1%	19.1%	20.1%
Necaxa	0.9%	3.6%	35.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Club Queretaro vs Necaxa

1 Club Queretaro Wins

0 Draws

1 Necaxa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Club Queretaro	3 - 1	Necaxa
18 Jul 2025	Necaxa	3 - 1	Club Queretaro

Club Queretaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Leon	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Club Tijuana	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Atlas	W	1 - 3
22 Aug	H Toluca	L	1 - 2
16 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	0 - 0

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Puebla	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Tigres UANL	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Cruz Azul	L	1 - 3
24 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.