Puebla vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 17

21 Nov 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Atletico San Luis

Away

AI call Puebla or draw

50%

32%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Puebla vs Atletico San Luis prediction: Sportiko gives Puebla a 50% chance of winning, Atletico San Luis 18% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.4%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Puebla

DLWLW

Atletico San Luis

WLLWD

Last 2 meetings Puebla · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Puebla faces Atletico San Luis in a Liga MX clash with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Puebla has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game this season, while conceding 1.2. Atletico San Luis, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, allowing 1.6 goals per game, which could be a decisive factor. The match is likely to hinge on Puebla's ability to exploit defensive vulnerabilities and maintain possession, while San Luis will need to improve their defensive organization to secure a favorable result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

50%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico San Luis goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	8	3	1
1	16	14	4	1
2	12	8	3	1
3	5	3	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Puebla goals · most likely 1–0 (16.4%)

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Players in form

Puebla

E. Mustre 3 gls

Atletico San Luis

Rafa Llorente 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

32%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

32%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.4%	7.8%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
1	16.4%	13.8%	4.2%	0.9%	0.2%
2	11.7%	8.0%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	5.1%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Puebla	Draw	Atletico San Luis
Puebla	30.0%	3.6%	0.8%
Draw	19.5%	23.1%	8.3%
Atletico San Luis	1.6%	3.5%	9.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Puebla vs Atletico San Luis

1 Puebla Wins

0 Draws

1 Atletico San Luis Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Atletico San Luis	0 - 1	Puebla
15 Aug 2025	Puebla	0 - 2	Atletico San Luis

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Toluca	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Necaxa	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Club America	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Santos Laguna	W	3 - 2

Atletico San Luis — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Necaxa	W	3 - 1
15 Sep	A Leon	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Guadalajara Chivas	L	0 - 3
31 Aug	A Monterrey	W	1 - 3
23 Aug	H CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.