Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction
AI call
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
28%
27%
45%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction: Sportiko gives Leon a 28% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 45% and the draw 27%. Last updated 9 Nov 2026, 21:00.
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Timeline
▮
18'
Richard Ledezma
Yellow Card
🖵
20'
Richard Ledezma
Card upgrade cancelled
Juan Guevara
Yellow Card
23'
▮
HT 0–0
Diber Cambindo
Yellow Card
51'
▮
José Rodríguez
Red Card
53'
▮
Fernando Beltrán
⇄ Jesús Lara
58'
⇄
⇄
60'
Richard Ledezma
⇄ Ricardo Marín
⇄
60'
Omar Govea
⇄ Brian Gutiérrez
Diber Cambindo
⇄ Paul Bellón
67'
⇄
Sebastián Vegas
⇄ C. Mora
67'
⇄
⚽
0–1
69'
Ricardo Marín
assist: Daniel Aguirre
Iván Moreno
⇄ Edgar Guerra
75'
⇄
Juan Guevara
⇄ Ismael Díaz
75'
⇄
⇄
76'
Efrain Alvarez
⇄ Jordan Carrillo
⇄
84'
Daniel Aguirre
⇄ José Castillo
⇄
84'
Fernando González
⇄ Luis Gabriel Rey
Paul Bellón
assist: Jhohan Romaña
87'
⚽
1–1
FT 1–1
Leon
Match Stats
Guadalajara Chivas
33%
Ball Possession
67%
0.4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
8
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Goal
6
1
Shots off Goal
8
2
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots insidebox
8
5
Shots outsidebox
10
2
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
339
Total passes
671
262
Passes accurate
598
9
Free Kicks
10
Leon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Paul Bellón D | 8.2 | 23' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 23 Oscar García G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (23%) | – |
| 14 Jhohan Romaña D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 40 (37%) | 3 |
| 27 Diber Cambindo F | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 13 Daniel Arcila M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 19 José Alvarado F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 25 (11%) | – |
| 11 Ismael Díaz F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Iván Moreno D | 6.5 | 75' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 18 Edgar Guerra M | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 203 Jesús Lara M | 6.4 | 32' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 3 Juan Guevara D | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | 1 |
| 185 C. Mora D | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 5 Sebastián Vegas D | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 2 |
| 6 Fernando Beltrán M | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | – |
| 20 Rodrigo Echeverría M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 3 |
| 29 José Rodríguez M | 5.6 | 53' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Raúl Rangel G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 17 Ricardo Marín F | 7.4 | 30' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 10 Efrain Alvarez M | 7.3 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 64 (55%) | 2 |
| 11 Brian Gutiérrez M | 7.2 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 27 (24%) | – |
| 28 Fernando González M | 7.2 | 84' | – | – | – | 83 (79%) | 3 |
| 25 Roberto Alvarado M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 58 (53%) | 1 |
| 6 Omar Govea M | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 41 (41%) | 1 |
| 7 Luis Romo D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 87 (75%) | – |
| 30 Santiago Sandoval F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 35 (28%) | 1 |
| 23 Daniel Aguirre D | 6.6 | 84' | – | 1 | – | 51 (42%) | 1 |
| 3 Diego Campillo D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (71%) | 1 |
| 5 Bryan González M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 59 (53%) | 1 |
| 2 José Castillo D | 6.3 | 6' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 33 Jordan Carrillo M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 37 Richard Ledezma M | 6.1 | 60' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 2 |
| 16 Luis Gabriel Rey D | 5.9 | 6' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
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Leon
DLDWL
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWWD
Last 2 meetings
Leon · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, León faces Guadalajara Chivas. León has shown a solid home performance this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per match. On the other hand, Chivas has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures and an average of 1.2 goals scored per game. The matchup will likely hinge on León's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against Chivas' defense, which has been inconsistent away from home. Expect a competitive encounter with León looking to secure vital points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
45%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Leon
J. Alvarado
6 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas
1
Leon Wins
0
Draws
1
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 - 0 | Leon |
| 19 Jul 2025 | Leon | 1 - 0 | Guadalajara Chivas |
Leon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | H Guadalajara Chivas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Cruz Azul | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Toluca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Tigres UANL | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Club America | L | 3 - 5 |
Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | A Leon | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Atlante FC | W | 4 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Monterrey | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Necaxa | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cruz Azul
|
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | +11 | 32 |
| 2 |
Club America
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 30 |
| 4 |
Toluca
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 21 | +14 | 27 |
| 5 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 9 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 |
Puebla
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Milito
1
Rangel
7
Romo
3
Campillo
23
Aguirre
5
González
6
Govea
28
González
37
Ledezma
10
Álvarez
25
Alvarado
30
Sandoval
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Rangel | G |
| 23 | D. Aguirre | D |
| 3 | D. Campillo | D |
| 7 | L. Romo | D |
| 37 | R. Ledezma | M |
| 28 | R. González | M |
| 6 | O. Govea | M |
| 5 | B. González | M |
| 25 | R. Alvarado | M |
| 10 | E. Álvarez | M |
| 30 | Santiago Sandoval | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | H. Camberos | M |
| 33 | J. Carrillo | M |
| 19 | K. Castañeda | M |
| 2 | J. Castillo | D |
| 11 | B. Gutiérrez | M |
| 24 | M. Gómez | D |
| 17 | R. Marín | F |
| 16 | L. Rey | D |
| 9 | Á. Sepúlveda | F |
| 13 | Óscar Whalley | G |
Leon
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: J. Gandolfi
23
García
5
Vegas
3
Possu
14
Romaña
7
Moreno
13
Arcila
6
Beltrán
29
Rodríguez
20
Echeverría
19
Alvarado
27
Cambindo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Ó. García | G |
| 7 | I. Moreno | D |
| 14 | J. Romaña | D |
| 3 | Juan José Guevara Possu | D |
| 5 | S. Vegas | D |
| 20 | R. Echeverría | M |
| 29 | J. Rodríguez | M |
| 6 | F. Beltrán | M |
| 13 | D. Arcila | M |
| 27 | D. Cambindo | F |
| 19 | J. Alvarado | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | P. Bellón | D |
| 4 | B. Colula | D |
| 16 | J. Cortizo | M |
| 8 | J. Domínguez | M |
| 11 | I. Díaz | F |
| 247 | I. Espinosa | M |
| 18 | E. Guerra | M |
| 203 | J. Lara | M |
| 181 | Irving Martínez | G |
| 185 | C. Mora | D |