Atlas vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 16

07 Nov 2026, 23:00

Post on X

CF Pachuca

Away

Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

AI call Difficult Atlas win or draw

53%

28%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction: Sportiko gives Atlas a 53% chance of winning, CF Pachuca 18% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Atlas

DLDLW

CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Last 2 meetings Atlas · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

Atlas will host CF Pachuca in what promises to be an intriguing Liga MX matchup. Atlas has demonstrated a solid defensive record this season, averaging just 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Pachuca has been reliant on their attacking prowess, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include Atlas' goalkeeper, who has a save percentage of 75%, and Pachuca's top scorer, who has netted 6 goals this season. Tactical adjustments and set-piece effectiveness could determine the outcome, making this a critical clash for both teams as they vie for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CF Pachuca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	13	13	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Atlas goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Atlas

Luís Esteves 3 gls

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	5.9%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.6%	13.4%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	9.4%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.9%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlas	Draw	CF Pachuca
Atlas	33.1%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	19.4%	18.6%	7.8%
CF Pachuca	2.2%	3.9%	10.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlas vs CF Pachuca

0 Atlas Wins

0 Draws

2 CF Pachuca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	CF Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
10 Aug 2025	Atlas	0 - 3	CF Pachuca

Atlas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Toluca	L	5 - 2
06 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 3
23 Aug	A Cruz Azul	W	0 - 2

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.