Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 16

07 Nov 2026, 23:00

Post on X

Cruz Azul

Away

AI call Cruz Azul to win

17%

79%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction: Sportiko gives Tigres UANL a 4% chance of winning, Cruz Azul 79% and the draw 17%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Tigres UANL

LDDDW

Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Last 3 meetings Tigres UANL · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Tigres UANL faces Cruz Azul in a Liga MX clash that promises intensity and tactical battles. Tigres has shown robust form at home, consistently leveraging their attacking prowess, with an average of 2 goals per match in recent fixtures. Meanwhile, Cruz Azul has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five outings. The match will likely hinge on Tigres’ ability to exploit Cruz Azul's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining solid possession. Expect a closely contested encounter with key contributions from both sides' attacking units.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

79%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cruz Azul goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	19	20	14	8	3
1	2	7	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Tigres UANL goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Tigres UANL

R. Aguirre 3 gls

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Away Scores More 17% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	18.6%	20.4%	14.4%	7.6%
1	2.0%	6.6%	6.1%	4.3%	2.3%
2	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tigres UANL	Draw	Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL	1.9%	1.6%	1.3%
Draw	1.8%	13.1%	24.6%
Cruz Azul	0.1%	1.4%	54.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul

0 Tigres UANL Wins

2 Draws

1 Cruz Azul Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Tigres UANL
07 Dec 2025	Tigres UANL	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
04 Dec 2025	Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Tigres UANL

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Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Juarez	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Monterrey	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Santos Laguna	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Atlante FC	W	2 - 0

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.