Necaxa vs Club Tijuana Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 16
FT
Post on X
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
AI call Club Tijuana or draw
33%
28%
39%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Necaxa vs Club Tijuana prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 33% chance of winning, Club Tijuana 39% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 02:58.

Premium picks

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  • Under 3.5 Goals 72%
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Timeline

Danny Leyva assist: Lorenzo Faravelli
12' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 34'
Rafael Fernández Yellow Card
Julián Carranza ⇄ J. Valencia
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Mourad El Ghezouani ⇄ Elias Manoel
⇄ 45'
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz ⇄ Unai Bilbao
HT 1–0
R. Martínez Yellow Card
53' ▮
Lorenzo Faravelli
65' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Gilberto Mora ⇄ Yael Padilla
R. Martínez
77' ⇄
Owen González ⇄ Alexis Peña
77' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Francisco González ⇄ Diego Abreu
⇄ 78'
José Rivero ⇄ Ramiro Árciga
Diego Ochoa ⇄ Pedro Pedraza
90+1' ⇄
▮ 90+3'
Iván Tona Yellow Card
FT 1–0
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
Club Tijuana or draw
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Necaxa
WLDLL
Club Tijuana
LDDWD
Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa will face Club Tijuana. Necaxa has shown a solid defensive record at home, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game this season, while Tijuana has struggled offensively, scoring only 1 goal per match in their last five outings. Tijuana's away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five away games. The match could hinge on Necaxa's ability to exploit Tijuana's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in transition. Overall, this matchup will be pivotal for both teams as they aim for points to improve their standings.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Necaxa leads 1-0. Win probability: 80.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.3%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Necaxa leads. Win probability: 63.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.5%.

13' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Necaxa win: 55.8%. BTTS: 74.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
39%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Necaxa
J. Carranza 7 gls
Club Tijuana

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Necaxa vs Club Tijuana

1 Necaxa Wins
0 Draws
1 Club Tijuana Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Necaxa 3 - 0 Club Tijuana
01 Sep 2025 Club Tijuana 3 - 0 Necaxa

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Club Tijuana W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Santos Laguna L 1 - 0
24 Oct H FC Juarez D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Guadalajara Chivas L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Atlas L 0 - 2

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Necaxa L 1 - 0
01 Nov A Monterrey D 3 - 3
29 Oct A Club America D 1 - 1
26 Oct H Santos Laguna W 4 - 1
22 Oct A Toluca D 2 - 2

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Necaxa

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
181 Orantes
14 Zaleta
3 Oliveros
5 Naves
33 Martínez
15 Ochoa
13 Ojeda
8 Faravelli
6 Leyva
99 Rodríguez
9 Carranza

Starting XI

# Player Pos
181 Javier Orantes G
33 R. Martínez D
5 Kaiky Naves D
3 A. Oliveros D
14 M. Zaleta D
15 D. Ochoa M
99 M. Rodríguez M
6 D. Leyva M
8 L. Faravelli M
13 Owen de Jesús González Ojeda M
9 J. Carranza F

Substitutes

21 M. Espíndola M
210 Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido M
16 P. Pedraza M
4 A. Peña D
11 J. Torres M
90 J. Valencia F
235 Leroy Davis D

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