CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL Prediction
Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
AI call
CF Pachuca or draw
42%
28%
30%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL prediction: Sportiko gives CF Pachuca a 42% chance of winning, Tigres UANL 30% and the draw 28%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 01:04.
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Timeline
Salomón Rondón
42'
⚽
1–0
⇄
45'
Diego Sánchez
⇄ Ozziel Herrera
HT 1–0
Salomón Rondón
assist: Oussama Idrissi
53'
⚽
2–0
⇄
56'
Guillermo Martínez
⇄ Rodrigo Aguirre
⇄
57'
Diego Lainez
⇄ Ricardo Monreal
Nicolás Vallejo
⇄ Kenedy
63'
⇄
▮
68'
Rafael Guerrero
Yellow Card
Kenedy
assist: Oussama Idrissi
69'
⚽
3–0
⇄
72'
J. Garza
⇄ Vladimir Loroña
⇄
72'
Rafael Guerrero
⇄ César Araújo
Alan Bautista
⇄ Mauricio Isais
76'
⇄
Jorge Berlanga
⇄ Sebastián Santos
76'
⇄
🖵
79'
Alan Franco
Card upgrade confirmed
▮
80'
Alan Franco
Red Card
Rodolfo Pizarro
Yellow Card
89'
▮
Oussama Idrissi
⇄ Thomas Contreras
90'
⇄
Rodolfo Pizarro
⇄ Cristóbal Hernández
90'
⇄
Sebastián Santos
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
FT 3–0
CF Pachuca
Match Stats
Tigres UANL
61%
Ball Possession
39%
2.75
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
21
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
2
10
Shots off Goal
7
4
Blocked Shots
1
11
Shots insidebox
5
10
Shots outsidebox
5
5
Corner Kicks
4
17
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
426
Total passes
434
347
Passes accurate
353
6
Free Kicks
17
CF Pachuca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Salomón Rondón F | 8.7 | 90' | 2 | – | 6 | 10 (4%) | – |
| 11 Oussama Idrissi M | 8.6 | 90' | – | 2 | 3 | 57 (49%) | 2 |
| 29 Kenedy M | 7.7 | 27' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 4 Eduardo Bauermann D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 3 |
| 13 Jorge Berlanga D | 7.5 | 76' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | 4 |
| 2 Sergio Barreto D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 6 Mauricio Isais D | 7.3 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 15 Francisco Venegas D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (48%) | – |
| 7 Rodolfo Pizarro M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 35 (27%) | 1 |
| 12 Sebastián Santos M | 6.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 26 Alan Bautista M | 6.7 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 34 (28%) | – |
| 25 Carlos Moreno G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | – |
| 16 Christian Rivera M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 4 |
| 21 Nicolás Vallejo M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | – |
Tigres UANL
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Guillermo Martínez F | 6.8 | 56' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 11 Juan Brunetta M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 41 (31%) | 1 |
| 16 Diego Lainez M | 6.5 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 17 Rodrigo Aguirre F | 6.4 | 34' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 21 Ricardo Monreal F | 6.4 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 1 Nahuel Guzmán G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (24%) | – |
| 77 Ozziel Herrera F | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 8 Fernando Gorriarán M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | 2 |
| 9 Emiliano Gómez M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 35 (30%) | 1 |
| 19 Mauro Laínez D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (44%) | 5 |
| 32 Vladimir Loroña D | 6.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 33 Rafael Guerrero D | 6.0 | 72' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
| 5 César Araújo M | 5.8 | 18' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 30 Diego Sánchez M | 5.5 | 46' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 14 J. Garza D | 5.5 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 15 Alan Franco D | 5.1 | 80' | – | – | – | 42 (32%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
CF Pachuca or draw
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CF Pachuca
WWWLL
Tigres UANL
LLDLD
Last 2 meetings
CF Pachuca · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the Liga MX matchup between CF Pachuca and Tigres UANL, both teams come into the match with strong attacking records. Pachuca averages 1.8 goals per game, leveraging their home form effectively, while Tigres boasts a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per match. Key players to watch include Pachuca’s forward, who has consistently contributed to their attacking tally, and Tigres’ goalkeeper, known for his shot-stopping capabilities. This clash will likely hinge on Pachuca’s ability to break through Tigres' organized defense. A closely contested match is anticipated.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
30%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
CF Pachuca
S. Rondón
15 gls
Tigres UANL
J. Brunetta
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL
1
CF Pachuca Wins
0
Draws
1
Tigres UANL Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Tigres UANL | 1 - 2 | CF Pachuca |
| 22 Oct 2025 | CF Pachuca | 1 - 2 | Tigres UANL |
CF Pachuca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Atlas | W | 1 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | H Tigres UANL | W | 3 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | A Club America | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | A Monterrey | L | 2 - 1 |
Tigres UANL — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Cruz Azul | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A CF Pachuca | L | 3 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Leon | L | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Guadalajara Chivas | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
CF Pachuca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Mora
25
Moreno
15
Venegas
2
Barreto
4
Bauermann
13
Berlanga
26
Gutiérrez
16
Rivera
11
Idrissi
7
Pizarro
21
Vallejo
23
Rondón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | C. Moreno | G |
| 13 | J. Berlanga | D |
| 4 | Eduardo Bauermann | D |
| 2 | S. Barreto | D |
| 15 | F. Venegas | D |
| 16 | C. Rivera | M |
| 26 | Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M |
| 21 | N. Vallejo | M |
| 7 | R. Pizarro | M |
| 11 | O. Idrissi | M |
| 23 | S. Rondón | F |
Substitutes
| 207 | Ian Josué Zavala Osorio | F |
| 31 | J. Eulogio | G |
| 206 | Thomas Contreras | M |
| 32 | P. Budib | D |
| 9 | A. Alcáraz | F |
| 211 | C. Hernandez | F |
| 6 | M. Isaís | D |
| 221 | Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso | D |
| 29 | Kenedy | M |
| 12 | S. Santos | M |
Tigres UANL
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Vucetich
1
Guzmán
19
Laínez
33
Guerrero
15
Franco
14
Garza
9
Gómez
8
Gorriarán
30
Sánchez
11
Brunetta
16
Lainez
22
Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Guzmán | G |
| 14 | J. Garza | D |
| 15 | A. Franco | D |
| 33 | R. Guerrero | D |
| 19 | M. Laínez | D |
| 8 | F. Gorriarán | M |
| 9 | E. Gómez | M |
| 16 | D. Lainez | M |
| 11 | J. Brunetta | M |
| 30 | D. Sánchez | M |
| 22 | G. Martínez | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | R. Aguirre | F |
| 5 | C. Araújo | M |
| 29 | J. Contreras | F |
| 77 | O. Herrera | F |
| 32 | V. Loroña | D |
| 21 | R. Monreal | F |
| 25 | F. Rodríguez | G |
| 34 | Simeone | M |
| 6 | J. Vigón | M |
| 184 | I. Aceves | D |