Necaxa vs FC Juarez Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 14

24 Oct 2026, 01:00

Post on X

FC Juarez

Away

Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

AI call Necaxa to win

82%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Necaxa vs FC Juarez prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 82% chance of winning, FC Juarez 3% and the draw 15%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.2%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Necaxa

LLDLD

FC Juarez

WLLLL

Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and FC Juarez, both teams are seeking crucial points as they navigate the league season. Necaxa has shown a solid home performance, with an average of 1.5 goals per game at home, but has struggled defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per match. FC Juarez, on the other hand, has been inconsistent on the road, averaging 0.9 goals scored while allowing 1.5 goals against. The match will likely hinge on Necaxa's ability to capitalize on their offensive opportunities while shoring up their defense against Juarez's counter-attacks. Expect a competitive match as both teams aim to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

82%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Juarez goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Necaxa goals · most likely 2–0 (20.2%)

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Players in form

Necaxa

J. Carranza 5 gls

FC Juarez

Ó. Estupiñán 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

58% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

82% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.8%	5.9%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.2%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.6%	4.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.0%	2.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Necaxa	Draw	FC Juarez
Necaxa	57.7%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	24.0%	11.1%	1.4%
FC Juarez	1.4%	1.4%	1.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Necaxa vs FC Juarez

1 Necaxa Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Juarez Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	FC Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
12 Sep 2025	Necaxa	1 - 1	FC Juarez

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Puebla	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Tigres UANL	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Cruz Azul	L	1 - 3
24 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1

FC Juarez — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Tigres UANL	W	2 - 0
14 Sep	A Santos Laguna	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 2
31 Aug	A Toluca	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Club America	L	1 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.