CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
AI call
Cruz Azul or draw
32%
27%
41%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction: Sportiko gives CF Pachuca a 32% chance of winning, Cruz Azul 41% and the draw 27%. Last updated 22 Oct 2026, 05:15.
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- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
Eduardo Bauermann
Yellow Card
11'
▮
⚽
0–1
13'
Gabriel Fernández
assist: Alan Mozo
Francisco Venegas
assist: Rodolfo Pizarro
20'
⚽
1–1
▮
39'
Carlos Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Oussama Idrissi
Yellow Card
45'
▮
HT 1–1
Francisco Venegas
Yellow Card
48'
▮
⇄
61'
Jeremy Márquez
⇄ Luka Romero
⇄
61'
Omar Campos
⇄ Rogelio González
Rodolfo Pizarro
Yellow Card
63'
▮
Rodolfo Pizarro
⇄ A. Alcáraz
67'
⇄
Oussama Idrissi
⇄ Gael Álvarez
67'
⇄
⇄
70'
Alan Mozo
⇄ Carlos Rotondi
⇄
70'
Agustín Palavecino
⇄ Andres Montaño
Pedro Budib
Yellow Card
75'
▮
⚽
1–2
79'
Andres Montaño
Penalty
Jorge Berlanga
⇄ Cristóbal Hernández
79'
⇄
Nicolás Vallejo
⇄ Kenedy
79'
⇄
⇄
82'
Carlos Rodríguez
⇄ Jesús Orozco
▮
85'
Amaury Garcia
Yellow Card
Francisco Venegas
⇄ Mauricio Isais
85'
⇄
Salomón Rondón
Goal cancelled
87'
🖵
▮
90+4'
Luka Romero
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
CF Pachuca
Match Stats
Cruz Azul
44%
Ball Possession
56%
1.11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots off Goal
4
5
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
8
4
Shots outsidebox
3
0
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
2
20
Fouls
11
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
360
Total passes
461
280
Passes accurate
381
10
Free Kicks
20
CF Pachuca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Francisco Venegas D | 6.9 | 85' | 1 | – | 2 | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 9 A. Alcáraz F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 6 Mauricio Isais D | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 23 Salomón Rondón F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 17 (11%) | – |
| 21 Nicolás Vallejo M | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | 2 |
| 187 Gael Álvarez F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 211 Cristóbal Hernández F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 16 Christian Rivera M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (43%) | 1 |
| 11 Oussama Idrissi M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 25 Carlos Moreno G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (29%) | – |
| 13 Jorge Berlanga D | 6.1 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 7 Rodolfo Pizarro M | 6.0 | 67' | – | 1 | 1 | 28 (19%) | 1 |
| 4 Eduardo Bauermann D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 3 |
| 26 Alan Bautista M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 32 Pedro Budib D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 1 |
| 29 Kenedy M | 5.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
Cruz Azul
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Gabriel Fernández F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 10 Andres Montaño M | 7.6 | 20' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 1 Andrés Gudiño G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (20%) | – |
| 16 Jeremy Márquez M | 7.1 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 40 (36%) | – |
| 33 Gonzalo Piovi D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (61%) | 3 |
| 29 Carlos Rotondi F | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 12 Alan Montes D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (42%) | 2 |
| 18 Luka Romero F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 8 Agustín Palavecino M | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 44 (31%) | 1 |
| 6 Erik Lira M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (48%) | – |
| 19 Carlos Rodríguez M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | – |
| 5 Jesús Orozco D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 2 Alan Mozo M | 6.3 | 70' | – | 1 | 1 | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 55 Rogelio González M | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | 1 |
| 17 Amaury Garcia D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (37%) | 2 |
| 3 Omar Campos M | 5.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Cruz Azul or draw
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CF Pachuca
WWWLL
Cruz Azul
WWWWW
Last 2 meetings
CF Pachuca · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca faces off against Cruz Azul. Historically, Pachuca has shown strong attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Cruz Azul's defense has been solid, conceding only 1 goal per game. The key matchup will likely be Pachuca's midfield creativity against Cruz Azul's organized defensive structure. Both teams will look to secure crucial points, making this encounter pivotal for their standings in the league. Expect a competitive match with potential for both teams to capitalize on transitional play.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
41%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
CF Pachuca
S. Rondón
15 gls
Cruz Azul
N. Ibáñez
5 gls
G. Fernández
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul
1
CF Pachuca Wins
0
Draws
1
Cruz Azul Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Cruz Azul | 1 - 2 | CF Pachuca |
| 13 Sep 2025 | CF Pachuca | 0 - 1 | Cruz Azul |
CF Pachuca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Atlas | W | 1 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | H Tigres UANL | W | 3 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | A Club America | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | A Monterrey | L | 2 - 1 |
Cruz Azul — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Tigres UANL | W | 2 - 3 |
| 02 Nov | H Leon | W | 2 - 1 |
| 26 Oct | A Club Queretaro | W | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A CF Pachuca | W | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H FC Juarez | W | 5 - 0 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
CF Pachuca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Mora
25
Moreno
15
Venegas
32
Budib
4
Bauermann
13
Berlanga
26
Gutiérrez
16
Rivera
11
Idrissi
7
Pizarro
21
Vallejo
23
Rondón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | C. Moreno | G |
| 13 | J. Berlanga | D |
| 4 | Eduardo Bauermann | D |
| 32 | P. Budib | D |
| 15 | F. Venegas | D |
| 16 | C. Rivera | M |
| 26 | Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M |
| 21 | N. Vallejo | M |
| 7 | R. Pizarro | M |
| 11 | O. Idrissi | M |
| 23 | S. Rondón | F |
Substitutes
| 187 | G. Ãlvarez | F |
| 31 | J. Eulogio | G |
| 211 | C. Hernandez | F |
| 6 | M. Isaís | D |
| 29 | Kenedy | M |
| 30 | S. Rodríguez | M |
| 12 | S. Santos | M |
| 186 | Ángel López Bustamante | M |
| 221 | Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso | D |
| 9 | A. Alcáraz | F |
Cruz Azul
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Gudiño
33
Piovi
12
Montes
17
García
3
Campos
16
Márquez
6
Lira
2
Mozo
19
Rodríguez
8
Palavecino
21
Fernández
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gudiño | G |
| 17 | A. García | D |
| 12 | A. Montes | D |
| 33 | G. Piovi | D |
| 2 | A. Mozo | M |
| 6 | É. Lira | M |
| 16 | J. Márquez | M |
| 3 | O. Campos | M |
| 8 | A. Palavecino | M |
| 19 | C. Rodríguez | M |
| 21 | G. Fernández | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | J. Orozco | D |
| 18 | L. Romero | F |
| 14 | J. Calero | F |
| 7 | N. Ibáñez | F |
| 10 | A. Montaño | M |
| 23 | K. Mier | G |
| 55 | R. Gonzalez | M |
| 11 | C. Ebere | F |
| 60 | Ariel Castro Sevilla | M |
| 29 | C. Rotondi | F |