Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 13

22 Oct 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Club Tijuana

Away

AI call Difficult Club Tijuana win or draw

12%

25%

64%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Toluca vs Club Tijuana prediction: Sportiko gives Toluca a 12% chance of winning, Club Tijuana 64% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 14%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Toluca

LWWWW

Club Tijuana

DLWLW

Last 2 meetings Toluca · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Toluca faces Club Tijuana in a Liga MX clash on October 22, 2026. Toluca has shown solid form at home, with a recent average of 1.8 goals scored per match in their last five home fixtures, while maintaining a defense that concedes approximately 1 goal per match. Club Tijuana, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.5 conceded in their last five away games. Given these trends, Toluca is likely to capitalize on their attacking efficiency while aiming to tighten their defense against a Tijuana side that has been inconsistent away from home.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club Tijuana goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	14	14	9	4	1
1	4	11	9	6	3	1
2	2	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Toluca goals · most likely 0–2 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Toluca

F. Viñas 4 gls

Club Tijuana

G. Mora 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

25%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

25%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

85% Away (No Draw) 15% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	14.0%	14.0%	8.6%	3.9%
1	4.2%	11.4%	9.3%	5.7%	2.6%
2	1.8%	3.3%	3.1%	1.9%	0.9%
3	0.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toluca	Draw	Club Tijuana
Toluca	6.8%	3.5%	2.5%
Draw	4.8%	16.4%	22.6%
Club Tijuana	0.6%	2.8%	40.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toluca vs Club Tijuana

1 Toluca Wins

1 Draws

0 Club Tijuana Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Toluca	1 - 0	Club Tijuana
23 Oct 2025	Club Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca

Toluca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Santos Laguna	L	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Puebla	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Atlas	W	5 - 2
07 Sep	H Monterrey	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	H Leon	W	2 - 0

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A CF Pachuca	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Club Queretaro	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	5 - 2
17 Aug	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.