Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 13

21 Oct 2026, 03:00

Post on X

Leon

Away

AI call Difficult Tigres UANL win or draw

60%

27%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction: Sportiko gives Tigres UANL a 60% chance of winning, Leon 13% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.7%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Tigres UANL

LDDDW

Leon

DWLWL

Last 2 meetings Tigres UANL · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Tigres UANL faces Leon in a matchup that promises to be competitive. Tigres has shown strong form at home, boasting an impressive record with a solid defensive setup, conceding only 0.8 goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Leon has been effective in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but may struggle against Tigres' organized defense. The outcome will likely hinge on Tigres' ability to control the midfield and limit Leon's key playmakers. Both teams will be eager to secure crucial points as they push for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leon goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2
1	16	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Tigres UANL goals · most likely 1–0 (15.7%)

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Players in form

Tigres UANL

R. Aguirre 3 gls

Leon

D. Arcila 4 gls

D. Cambindo 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	5.2%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
1	15.7%	12.2%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	8.8%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.6%	4.8%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	3.1%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tigres UANL	Draw	Leon
Tigres UANL	38.0%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	21.5%	18.8%	5.9%
Leon	1.9%	3.2%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tigres UANL vs Leon

1 Tigres UANL Wins

1 Draws

0 Leon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	Leon	1 - 2	Tigres UANL
13 Sep 2025	Tigres UANL	0 - 0	Leon

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Juarez	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Monterrey	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Santos Laguna	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Atlante FC	W	2 - 0

Leon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A Club Queretaro	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Atletico San Luis	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Club America	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.