Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 12

17 Oct 2026, 23:07

Post on X

Tigres UANL

Away

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

AI call Difficult Guadalajara Chivas win or draw

57%

29%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL prediction: Sportiko gives Guadalajara Chivas a 57% chance of winning, Tigres UANL 14% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.6%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDW

Tigres UANL

LDDDW

Last 3 meetings Guadalajara Chivas · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX match, Guadalajara Chivas will face Tigres UANL. Chivas have shown a solid home record this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a defensive solidity with an average of only 1 goal conceded per match. Tigres UANL, known for their attacking prowess, have a slightly higher goal average at 2.1 goals per game but have struggled with consistency on the road. The matchup will likely hinge on Chivas' ability to contain Tigres' offensive threats while exploiting defensive gaps, making it a crucial encounter for both teams as they vie for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Tigres UANL goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	6	2
1	17	13	3	1
2	14	8	3	1
3	7	4	1
4	3	2
5	1

↑ Guadalajara Chivas goals · most likely 1–0 (16.6%)

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Players in form

Guadalajara Chivas

R. Alvarado 3 gls

Tigres UANL

R. Aguirre 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

29%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

29%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	6.0%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	16.6%	12.6%	3.5%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.6%	8.4%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
3	6.9%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
4	2.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Guadalajara Chivas	Draw	Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas	35.7%	3.2%	0.6%
Draw	21.1%	20.4%	6.3%
Tigres UANL	1.8%	3.3%	7.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL

1 Guadalajara Chivas Wins

0 Draws

2 Tigres UANL Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Guadalajara Chivas	2 - 0	Tigres UANL
03 May 2026	Tigres UANL	3 - 1	Guadalajara Chivas
11 Apr 2026	Tigres UANL	4 - 1	Guadalajara Chivas

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Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	A CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Club Tijuana	W	5 - 2

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Juarez	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Monterrey	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Santos Laguna	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Atlante FC	W	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.