Club Tijuana vs Puebla Prediction
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
AI call
Difficult Club Tijuana win or draw
53%
26%
21%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Club Tijuana vs Puebla prediction: Sportiko gives Club Tijuana a 53% chance of winning, Puebla 21% and the draw 26%. Last updated 17 Oct 2026, 05:03.
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Timeline
▮
17'
Mathías Tomás
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮
57'
Iker Moreno
Yellow Card
Jesús Vega
⇄ Unai Bilbao
58'
⇄
Ramiro Árciga
⇄ Joban González
58'
⇄
⇄
63'
Luifer Hernández
⇄ Eduardo Mustre
⇄
63'
Iker Moreno
⇄ Jose Pachuca
Rafael Fernández
Yellow Card
66'
▮
Mourad El Ghezouani
⇄ Elias Manoel
70'
⇄
⇄
74'
Omar Moreno
⇄ Heriberto Jurado
Joban González
Yellow Card
79'
▮
⇄
85'
Mathías Tomás
⇄ Ignacio Maestro Puch
⇄
85'
Alejandro Organista
⇄ E. Armenta
José Rivero
⇄ Diego Abreu
85'
⇄
FT 0–0
Club Tijuana
Match Stats
Puebla
58%
Ball Possession
42%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
20
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
3
11
Shots off Goal
2
4
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
4
11
Shots outsidebox
3
13
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
422
Total passes
309
351
Passes accurate
236
9
Free Kicks
6
Club Tijuana
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jackson Porozo D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 37 (33%) | 5 |
| 11 Francisco González M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 29 (23%) | 2 |
| 8 Iván Tona M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 62 (55%) | 2 |
| 2 Antonio Rodríguez G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 6 Jesús Gómez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (54%) | 2 |
| 7 Adonis Preciado M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | 3 |
| 3 Rafael Fernández D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (35%) | 3 |
| 4 Unai Bilbao D | 6.8 | 32' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 17 Ramiro Árciga M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 16 Jesús Vega D | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 4 |
| 19 Diego Abreu F | 6.6 | 5' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 13 Elias Manoel F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 | 1 |
| 15 José Rivero M | 6.4 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 9 Mourad El Ghezouani F | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | 3 |
| 202 Joban González F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
Puebla
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Daniel Gutierrez G | 8.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | – |
| 8 Omar Moreno M | 6.9 | 74' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 4 Juan Pablo Vargas D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (28%) | – |
| 5 Facundo Almada D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (36%) | 1 |
| 29 Eduardo Mustre F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 16 Alonso Ramirez M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (25%) | 2 |
| 9 Luifer Hernández F | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 14 E. Armenta M | 6.6 | 5' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 19 Ignacio Maestro Puch F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 24 Alejandro Organista M | 6.4 | 85' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | – |
| 25 Heriberto Jurado F | 6.4 | 16' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 2 |
| 20 Jose Pachuca D | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 27 Brayan Garnica M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (15%) | 2 |
| 7 Fernando Monarrez D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (16%) | 3 |
| 10 Mathías Tomás M | 6.1 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 12 Iker Moreno D | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Club Tijuana win or draw
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Club Tijuana
LDDWD
Puebla
WLLLD
Last 2 meetings
Club Tijuana · 0W 1D 1L
Match summary
In this Liga MX matchup, Club Tijuana hosts Puebla, with both teams looking to gain crucial points. Tijuana has shown a solid home record, while Puebla has struggled on the road, averaging 1.2 goals per away game and conceding 1.5. Tijuana's offensive unit, led by their key forwards, will aim to exploit Puebla's defensive vulnerabilities. The match will be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Expect a competitive encounter with tactical battles in midfield likely influencing the outcome.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
21%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Club Tijuana vs Puebla
0
Club Tijuana Wins
1
Draws
1
Puebla Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 | Club Tijuana | 0 - 0 | Puebla |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Puebla | 4 - 3 | Club Tijuana |
Club Tijuana — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Necaxa | L | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Monterrey | D | 3 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | A Club America | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Oct | H Santos Laguna | W | 4 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Toluca | D | 2 - 2 |
Puebla — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | A Club Queretaro | W | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H U.N.A.M. - Pumas | L | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Atlas | L | 4 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | H Monterrey | L | 1 - 4 |
| 17 Oct | A Club Tijuana | D | 0 - 0 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Club Tijuana
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: S. Abreu
2
Rodríguez
16
Vega
6
Gómez
12
Porozo
3
Fernández
8
Tona
7
Preciado
15
Rivero
11
González
17
Árciga
9
Mourad
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | A. Rodríguez | G |
| 3 | R. Fernández | D |
| 12 | J. Porozo | D |
| 6 | A. Gómez | D |
| 16 | J. Vega | D |
| 8 | I. Tona | M |
| 17 | R. Árciga | M |
| 11 | F. González | M |
| 15 | I. Rivero | M |
| 7 | Adonis Preciado | M |
| 9 | Mourad | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | Á. Zapata | M |
| 34 | F. Boya | M |
| 4 | Unai Bilbao | D |
| 13 | Elias Manoel | F |
| 19 | D. Abreu | F |
| 202 | J. González | F |
| 29 | S. Hernández | G |
| 18 | A. Mejía | D |
| 33 | P. Ortíz | D |
| 31 | Y. Padilla | F |
Puebla
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
28
Gutiérrez
7
Monárrez
4
Vargas
5
Almada
12
Moreno
16
Ramírez
24
Organista
8
Moreno
10
Tomás
27
Garnica
9
Hernández
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | R. Gutiérrez | G |
| 12 | I. Moreno | D |
| 5 | F. Almada | D |
| 4 | J. Vargas | D |
| 7 | F. Monárrez | D |
| 24 | A. Organista | M |
| 16 | A. Ramírez | M |
| 27 | B. Garnica | M |
| 10 | M. Tomás | M |
| 8 | O. Moreno | M |
| 9 | L. Hernández | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | A. Herrera | M |
| 25 | H. Jurado | F |
| 2 | Á. Leyva | D |
| 19 | I. Maestro Puch | F |
| 29 | E. Mustre | F |
| 20 | J. Pachuca | D |
| 33 | J. Rodríguez | G |
| 15 | Ó. Villa | D |
| 195 | Alvaro Burgos | D |
| 14 | E. Armenta | M |