Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 12

17 Oct 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Atlas

Away

Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

AI call Necaxa or draw

37%

31%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Necaxa vs Atlas prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 37% chance of winning, Atlas 32% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Necaxa

LLDLD

Atlas

DLDLW

Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa faces Atlas. Necaxa has shown a solid home record this season, boasting a higher average possession rate and a superior goal conversion percentage compared to Atlas. Conversely, Atlas struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points, but Necaxa's offensive capabilities could give them the edge in this matchup. Expect a competitive game with tactical adjustments from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Necaxa goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Necaxa

J. Carranza 5 gls

Atlas

Luís Esteves 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	8.4%	5.9%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.4%	14.7%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.1%	8.3%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.0%	3.5%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Necaxa	Draw	Atlas
Necaxa	22.2%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	14.3%	19.7%	12.6%
Atlas	1.9%	4.4%	18.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Necaxa vs Atlas

0 Necaxa Wins

0 Draws

2 Atlas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
27 Sep 2025	Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Puebla	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Tigres UANL	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Cruz Azul	L	1 - 3
24 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1

Atlas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Toluca	L	5 - 2
06 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 3
23 Aug	A Cruz Azul	W	0 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.