Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
AI call
Atlas or draw
34%
28%
38%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Necaxa vs Atlas prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 34% chance of winning, Atlas 38% and the draw 28%. Last updated 17 Oct 2026, 03:01.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 76%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
5'
Ryan Mmaee
assist: Florián Monzón
🖵
5'
Florián Monzón
Goal confirmed
HT 0–1
Matías Espíndola
⇄ Javier Ruiz
64'
⇄
▮
67'
Milton Valenzuela
Red Card
🖵
67'
Elías Montiel
Card upgrade confirmed
⇄
70'
Ryan Mmaee
⇄ Jorge Rodríguez
Pedro Pedraza
⇄ J. Valencia
74'
⇄
Emilio Martinez
74'
⇄
⇄
76'
Luís Esteves
⇄ Edgar Zaldívar
⇄
76'
Kevin Zenón
⇄ Manuel Capasso
▮
77'
Adonis Frías
Yellow Card
Carlos Vargas
⇄ Miguel Pedroza
81'
⇄
Owen González
⇄ Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
82'
⇄
⇄
85'
Jorge Sánchez
⇄ Gaddi Aguirre
⚽
0–2
90'
Manuel Capasso
Diego Ochoa
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
FT 0–2
Necaxa
Match Stats
Atlas
49%
Ball Possession
51%
2.37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
21
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots off Goal
6
9
Blocked Shots
3
14
Shots insidebox
10
7
Shots outsidebox
3
10
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
392
Total passes
428
322
Passes accurate
341
12
Free Kicks
14
Necaxa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Javier Ruiz M | 7.2 | 26' | – | – | 3 | 19 (19%) | – |
| 99 Emilio Rodriguez M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 29 (26%) | 3 |
| 3 Agustín Oliveros D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (37%) | – |
| 15 Diego Ochoa D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 48 (43%) | 2 |
| 6 Danny Leyva M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | 1 |
| 13 Owen González M | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 5 | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 2 Emilio Martinez D | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 27 Miguel Pedroza F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 88 Carlos Vargas D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 30 (21%) | 3 |
| 90 J. Valencia F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 16 Pedro Pedraza M | 6.1 | 74' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 2 |
| 17 Rogelio Cortéz Pineda M | 6.1 | 8' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 9 Julián Carranza F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (14%) | – |
| 21 Matías Espíndola M | 5.8 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 22 (17%) | – |
Atlas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Manuel Capasso D | 7.9 | 14' | 1 | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 8 Ryan Mmaee F | 7.8 | 70' | 1 | – | 2 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 44 Juan José Purata D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (39%) | – |
| 9 Florián Monzón F | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | 5 | 20 (13%) | – |
| 19 Adonis Frías D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (51%) | 1 |
| 18 Elías Montiel M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (40%) | 3 |
| 13 Gaddi Aguirre D | 7.0 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 12 Camilo Vargas G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (34%) | – |
| 5 Jorge Rodríguez D | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 3 Jorge Sánchez D | 6.8 | 85' | – | – | – | 44 (33%) | 1 |
| 6 Edgar Zaldívar M | 6.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 20 Kevin Zenón M | 6.7 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 20 (16%) | 2 |
| 16 Milton Valenzuela D | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 3 |
| 10 Luís Esteves M | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | – |
| 15 Paulo Ramírez M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (31%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Atlas or draw
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Necaxa
WLDLL
Atlas
LWWLW
Last 2 meetings
Necaxa · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa faces Atlas. Necaxa has shown a solid home record this season, boasting a higher average possession rate and a superior goal conversion percentage compared to Atlas. Conversely, Atlas struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points, but Necaxa's offensive capabilities could give them the edge in this matchup. Expect a competitive game with tactical adjustments from both sides.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
34%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
38%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Necaxa
J. Carranza
7 gls
Atlas
F. Monzón
5 gls
Luís Esteves
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Necaxa vs Atlas
0
Necaxa Wins
0
Draws
2
Atlas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Necaxa | 0 - 1 | Atlas |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Atlas | 3 - 2 | Necaxa |
Necaxa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Club Tijuana | W | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Santos Laguna | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H FC Juarez | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Guadalajara Chivas | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Atlas | L | 0 - 2 |
Atlas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H CF Pachuca | L | 1 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | A Atletico San Luis | W | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Puebla | W | 4 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | H Club America | L | 2 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | A Necaxa | W | 0 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Atlas
Formation: 4-2-2-2
Coach: H. Crespo
12
Vargas
16
Valenzuela
44
Purata
19
Frías
3
Sánchez
15
Ramírez
18
Montiel
10
Esteves
20
Zenón
8
Mmaee
9
Monzón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | C. Vargas | G |
| 3 | J. Sánchez | D |
| 19 | A. Frías | D |
| 44 | J. Purata | D |
| 16 | M. Valenzuela | D |
| 18 | E. Montiel | M |
| 15 | Paulo Ramírez | M |
| 20 | K. Zenón | M |
| 10 | Luís Esteves | M |
| 9 | F. Monzón | F |
| 8 | R. Mmaee | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | S. Hernández | M |
| 58 | A. González | F |
| 28 | M. Capasso | D |
| 13 | G. Aguirre | D |
| 27 | V. RÃos | M |
| 203 | J. Martín | F |
| 26 | A. Rocha | M |
| 5 | J. Rodríguez | D |
| 22 | A. Sánchez | G |
| 6 | É. Zaldívar | M |
Necaxa
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Salvatore Bocchetti
181
Orantes
88
Vargas
3
Oliveros
15
Ochoa
2
Martínez
16
Pedraza
13
Ojeda
21
Espíndola
6
Leyva
99
Rodríguez
9
Carranza
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 181 | Javier Orantes | G |
| 2 | E. Martínez | D |
| 15 | D. Ochoa | D |
| 3 | A. Oliveros | D |
| 88 | C. Vargas | D |
| 16 | P. Pedraza | M |
| 99 | M. Rodríguez | M |
| 6 | D. Leyva | M |
| 21 | M. Espíndola | M |
| 13 | Owen de Jesús González Ojeda | M |
| 9 | J. Carranza | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | J. Ruiz | M |
| 27 | M. Pedroza | F |
| 33 | R. Martínez | D |
| 5 | Kaiky Naves | D |
| 8 | L. Faravelli | M |
| 17 | R. Cortéz | M |
| 1 | C. Andrade | G |
| 90 | J. Valencia | F |
| 208 | Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos | M |
| 210 | Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido | M |