Leon vs FC Juarez Prediction
AI call
Difficult Leon win or draw
60%
24%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Leon vs FC Juarez prediction: Sportiko gives Leon a 60% chance of winning, FC Juarez 16% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Sep 2026, 03:06.
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Timeline
Sebastián Vegas
Yellow Card
3'
▮
Jordi Cortizo
⇄ Juan Dominguez
45'
⇄
Sebastián Vegas
⇄ Salvador Reyes
45'
⇄
HT 0–0
Juan Guevara
Yellow Card
53'
▮
Fernando Beltrán
⇄ José Alvarado
58'
⇄
Ismael Díaz
⇄ Edgar Guerra
58'
⇄
⇄
62'
Ricardinho
⇄ Raymundo Fulgencio
⇄
62'
Alejandro Mayorga
⇄ E. López
Francisco Nevarez
Own Goal
76'
⚽
1–0
🖵
77'
Sebastián Jurado
Goal confirmed
▮
79'
Jesús Murillo
Yellow Card
⇄
81'
Gilberto Sepúlveda
⇄ Luca Martínez Dupuy
▮
83'
Francisco Nevarez
Yellow Card
Diber Cambindo
⇄ Paul Bellón
83'
⇄
🖵
90+1'
Sebastián Jurado
Penalty confirmed
⚽
1–1
90+4'
Óscar Estupiñán
Penalty
⇄
90+5'
Francisco Nevarez
⇄ Javier Aquino
⇄
90+5'
Madson de Souza Silva
⇄ Haret Ortega
José Alvarado
90+9'
⚽
2–1
FT 2–1
Leon
Match Stats
FC Juarez
56%
Ball Possession
44%
7
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
3
6
Shots insidebox
4
1
Shots outsidebox
4
1
Corner Kicks
4
6
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
389
Total passes
303
317
Passes accurate
229
13
Free Kicks
13
Leon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 José Alvarado F | 7.9 | 32' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 14 Jhohan Romaña D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (33%) | – |
| 203 Jesús Lara M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | – |
| 3 Juan Guevara D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (58%) | 2 |
| 18 Edgar Guerra M | 6.8 | 32' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 11 Ismael Díaz M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 26 Salvador Reyes M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | – |
| 25 Paul Bellón D | 6.6 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 Iván Moreno D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | 5 |
| 8 Juan Dominguez M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 6 Fernando Beltrán M | 6.4 | 58' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | – |
| 5 Sebastián Vegas D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 29 José Rodríguez M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | 1 |
| 27 Diber Cambindo F | 6.1 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 12 (6%) | – |
| 16 Jordi Cortizo M | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | – |
| 181 Irving Martinez G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
FC Juarez
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Alejandro Mayorga D | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | 3 |
| 6 Monchu M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (26%) | 3 |
| 2 Gilberto Sepúlveda D | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
| 183 Leonardo Rodríguez M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 5 |
| 26 Daniel Piña D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (38%) | 1 |
| 19 Óscar Estupiñán F | 6.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 9 Madson de Souza Silva F | 6.4 | 95' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 3 |
| 14 E. López D | 6.4 | 28' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 7 Raymundo Fulgencio M | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 17 Luca Martínez Dupuy F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 21 Ricardinho M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 1 Sebastián Jurado G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | – |
| 3 Jesús Murillo D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 33 Francisco Nevarez D | 4.5 | 95' | – | – | – | 24 (15%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Leon win or draw
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Leon
LDWLD
FC Juarez
WWDLL
Last 2 meetings
Leon · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, León will host FC Juárez. León has demonstrated strong form at home, with a high possession rate averaging around 60% and a solid scoring record, netting an average of 2 goals per game in their recent fixtures. FC Juárez, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The matchup will heavily rely on León's attacking prowess against Juárez's defense, making it crucial for the visitors to tighten their backline to avoid a potential defeat. Expect an intense battle with León likely aiming to assert dominance early in the match.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Leon
J. Alvarado
6 gls
FC Juarez
Ó. Estupiñán
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leon vs FC Juarez
1
Leon Wins
0
Draws
1
FC Juarez Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Leon | 3 - 1 | FC Juarez |
| 26 Sep 2025 | FC Juarez | 2 - 0 | Leon |
Leon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | A Cruz Azul | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Toluca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Tigres UANL | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Club America | L | 3 - 5 |
| 10 Oct | A Puebla | D | 1 - 1 |
FC Juarez — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Atletico San Luis | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Club Queretaro | W | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Necaxa | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Atlante FC | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Cruz Azul | L | 5 - 0 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Leon
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: J. Gandolfi
181
Martinez
5
Vegas
3
Possu
14
Romaña
7
Moreno
29
Rodríguez
11
Díaz
6
Beltrán
203
Lara
16
Cortizo
27
Cambindo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 181 | I. Martinez | G |
| 7 | I. Moreno | D |
| 14 | J. Romaña | D |
| 3 | Juan José Guevara Possu | D |
| 5 | S. Vegas | D |
| 29 | J. Rodríguez | M |
| 16 | J. Cortizo | M |
| 203 | J. Lara | M |
| 6 | F. Beltrán | M |
| 11 | I. Díaz | M |
| 27 | D. Cambindo | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | J. Alvarado | F |
| 25 | P. Bellón | D |
| 4 | B. Colula | D |
| 8 | J. Domínguez | M |
| 15 | S. Fierro | M |
| 12 | J. González | G |
| 18 | E. Guerra | M |
| 26 | S. Reyes | M |
| 33 | A. Villegas | D |
| 247 | I. Espinosa | M |
FC Juarez
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: T. Campos
1
Jurado
4
Mayorga
26
Piña
2
Sepúlveda
3
Murillo
33
Nevárez
21
Ricardinho
183
Silva
6
Monchu
19
Estupiñán
9
Madson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Jurado | G |
| 33 | F. Nevárez | D |
| 3 | J. Murillo | D |
| 2 | G. Sepúlveda | D |
| 26 | D. Piña | D |
| 4 | A. Mayorga | D |
| 6 | Monchu | M |
| 183 | L. Silva | M |
| 21 | Ricardinho | M |
| 9 | Madson | F |
| 19 | Ó. Estupiñán | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | Guilherme Castilho | M |
| 14 | E. López | D |
| 23 | H. Ortega | D |
| 13 | Rodrigo Dourado | M |
| 16 | J. Sigala | M |
| 7 | R. Fulgencio | M |
| 17 | L. Martínez Dupuy | F |
| 201 | J. Carmona | M |
| 20 | J. Aquino | M |
| 27 | Guillermo Ruiz | G |