Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 10

26 Sep 2026, 23:07

Post on X

Club Queretaro

Away

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

AI call Guadalajara Chivas to win or draw

67%

21%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro prediction: Sportiko gives Guadalajara Chivas a 67% chance of winning, Club Queretaro 12% and the draw 21%. Last updated 25 Sep 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDW

Club Queretaro

DWWLD

Last 2 meetings Guadalajara Chivas · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX match, Guadalajara Chivas will face Club Queretaro. Chivas has shown a strong home performance this season, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 2 goals per match at home. In contrast, Queretaro has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match away from home. The matchup will hinge on Chivas' ability to break through Queretaro's defense, while the visitors will need to exploit counter-attacking opportunities to secure a positive result. Overall, Chivas appears favored based on current form and scoring metrics.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club Queretaro goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	2	1
1	8	10	4	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	9	8	3	1
4	5	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Guadalajara Chivas goals · most likely 2–0 (11.1%)

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Players in form

Guadalajara Chivas

R. Alvarado 3 gls

Club Queretaro

S. Homenchenko 4 gls

A. Ávila 3 gls

AI match tools

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	2.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	8.5%	9.8%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.1%	10.0%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	8.6%	7.7%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
4	4.9%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

28%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Guadalajara Chivas	Draw	Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas	45.1%	3.4%	1.1%
Draw	20.8%	12.2%	5.2%
Club Queretaro	2.9%	3.1%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro

1 Guadalajara Chivas Wins

0 Draws

1 Club Queretaro Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Guadalajara Chivas	2 - 1	Club Queretaro
22 Oct 2025	Club Queretaro	1 - 0	Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	A CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Club Tijuana	W	5 - 2

Club Queretaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Leon	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Club Tijuana	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Atlas	W	1 - 3
22 Aug	H Toluca	L	1 - 2
16 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	0 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.