Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
AI call
Atlas or draw
39%
29%
31%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction: Sportiko gives Atlas a 39% chance of winning, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 31% and the draw 29%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 01:05.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 76%
- Over 1.5 Goals 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
- Away to Score 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
23'
Angel Azuaje
assist: Pedro Vite
Duk
⇄ Kevin Zenón
35'
⇄
Manuel Capasso
⇄ Gaddi Aguirre
44'
⇄
⇄
45'
Álvaro Angulo
⇄ Pablo Bennevendo
Adonis Frías
⇄ Jorge Rodríguez
45'
⇄
Luís Esteves
45+6'
⚽
1–1
HT 1–1
⇄
58'
Victor Arteaga
⇄ Adalberto Carrasquilla
⇄
69'
Juninho
⇄ César Huerta
Elías Montiel
⇄ Ryan Mmaee
81'
⇄
Sergio Hernandez
⇄ Edgar Zaldívar
81'
⇄
▮
87'
Adalberto Carrasquilla
Red Card
⇄
87'
Uriel Antuna
⇄ Antonio Leone
⇄
87'
Angel Azuaje
⇄ Alan Medina
FT 1–1
Atlas
Match Stats
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
53%
Ball Possession
47%
20
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
3
16
Shots insidebox
7
4
Shots outsidebox
3
8
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
432
Total passes
387
358
Passes accurate
309
8
Free Kicks
7
Atlas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Luís Esteves M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 35 (27%) | 1 |
| 44 Juan José Purata D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 55 (48%) | – |
| 13 Gaddi Aguirre D | 7.2 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 20 Kevin Zenón M | 7.2 | 55' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | – |
| 8 Ryan Mmaee F | 7.0 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 12 Camilo Vargas G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (23%) | – |
| 18 Elías Montiel M | 6.8 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 47 (41%) | – |
| 3 Jorge Sánchez M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (35%) | 5 |
| 5 Jorge Rodríguez D | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
| 28 Manuel Capasso D | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 15 Paulo Ramírez M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (34%) | – |
| 19 Adonis Frías D | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 6 Edgar Zaldívar M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 9 Florián Monzón F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 23 (16%) | – |
| 23 Sergio Hernandez M | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 26 (17%) | – |
| 11 Duk M | 5.8 | 35' | – | – | 2 | 4 (4%) | 1 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Angel Azuaje D | 7.6 | 87' | 1 | – | 1 | 60 (46%) | 3 |
| 45 Pedro Vite M | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 51 (43%) | – |
| 6 Nathan Silva D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (45%) | 1 |
| 18 Victor Arteaga M | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 10 César Huerta M | 6.8 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 1 Keylor Navas G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (46%) | – |
| 31 Robert Morales F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 23 Juninho F | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 22 Alan Medina F | 6.5 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 Pablo Bennevendo D | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 21 Uriel Antuna M | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 24 Antonio Leone D | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 77 Álvaro Angulo D | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 7 Rodrigo Lopez D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (24%) | 1 |
| 14 Luciano Herrera M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (16%) | 1 |
| 8 Adalberto Carrasquilla M | 5.5 | 29' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Our lean
Atlas or draw
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Atlas
DLDLW
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
DLWLD
Last 2 meetings
Atlas · 0W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Atlas will face U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Atlas has shown a solid performance at home, with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. U.N.A.M. - Pumas, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, securing only 1 win in their last five away fixtures, averaging 0.8 goals per game. Key players to watch include Atlas's leading scorer, who has been instrumental in their attack, and Pumas' defense, which needs to tighten up to avoid conceding early. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams aiming for crucial points.
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 69.7%. Late goal chance: 33.5%.
45'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 42.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 31.5%, Away win 2H: 26%.
25'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 0-1. U.N.A.M. - Pumas win: 64.1%. BTTS: 64.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
31%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Atlas
Luís Esteves
3 gls
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Juninho
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
Atlas Wins
1
Draws
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Atlas | 2 - 2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
| 31 Aug 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 0 | Atlas |
Atlas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Toluca | L | 5 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | H Atlante FC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Club Queretaro | L | 1 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Cruz Azul | W | 0 - 2 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Atlas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Guadalajara Chivas | L | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H Leon | W | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Club Tijuana | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | H Necaxa | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Atlas
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: H. Crespo
12
Vargas
44
Purata
28
Capasso
19
Frías
23
Hernández
15
Ramírez
18
Montiel
3
Sánchez
10
Esteves
11
Duk
9
Monzón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | C. Vargas | G |
| 19 | A. Frías | D |
| 28 | M. Capasso | D |
| 44 | J. Purata | D |
| 3 | J. Sánchez | M |
| 18 | E. Montiel | M |
| 15 | Paulo Ramírez | M |
| 23 | S. Hernández | M |
| 11 | Duk | M |
| 10 | Luís Esteves | M |
| 9 | F. Monzón | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | R. Mmaee | F |
| 27 | V. RÃos | M |
| 58 | A. González | F |
| 5 | J. Rodríguez | D |
| 192 | Jesús Serrato | M |
| 22 | A. Sánchez | G |
| 16 | M. Valenzuela | D |
| 6 | É. Zaldívar | M |
| 20 | K. Zenón | M |
| 13 | G. Aguirre | D |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: E. Solari
1
Navas
77
Angulo
34
Azuaje
6
Silva
7
López
14
Herrera
45
Vite
18
Arteaga
21
Antuna
23
Juninho
31
Morales
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Navas | G |
| 7 | R. López | D |
| 6 | Nathan Silva | D |
| 34 | Á. Azuaje | D |
| 77 | Á. Angulo | D |
| 21 | U. Antuna | M |
| 18 | V. Arteaga | M |
| 45 | P. Vite | M |
| 14 | L. Herrera | M |
| 31 | R. Morales | F |
| 23 | Juninho | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | P. Bennevendo | D |
| 8 | A. Carrasquilla | M |
| 5 | Rubén Duarte | D |
| 10 | C. Huerta | M |
| 35 | P. Lara | G |
| 24 | T. Leone | D |
| 15 | I. Luna | M |
| 22 | A. Medina | F |
| 19 | J. Rivas | D |
| 20 | S. Trigos | M |