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FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 9
FT
Post on X
FC Juarez

FC Juarez

Home
2 : 0
HT 0 - 0
Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

Away
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
AI call Tigres UANL or draw
24%
27%
49%
Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL prediction: Sportiko gives FC Juarez a 24% chance of winning, Tigres UANL 49% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 05:00.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Denzell Garcia Yellow Card
45' ▮
Rodrigo Dourado ⇄ Guilherme Castilho
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
Javier Aquino ⇄ Alejandro Mayorga
60' ⇄
⇄ 62'
Diego Sánchez ⇄ Guillermo Martínez
⇄ 63'
Ricardo Monreal ⇄ Ozziel Herrera
Óscar Estupiñán Penalty
66' ⚽ 1–0
Denzell Garcia ⇄ Leonardo Rodríguez
76' ⇄
Óscar Estupiñán assist: José Luis Rodríguez
79' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 83'
Joaquim ⇄ Emiliano Gómez
⇄ 83'
Mauro Laínez ⇄ Rafael Guerrero
Monchu ⇄ Ricardinho
89' ⇄
Óscar Estupiñán ⇄ Madson de Souza Silva
89' ⇄
▮ 90+4'
Guillermo Martínez Yellow Card
FT 2–0
FC Juarez

Match Stats

Tigres UANL
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Corner Kicks 9
0 Offsides 5
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
344 Total passes 454
274 Passes accurate 379
13 Free Kicks 10
FC Juarez
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Óscar Estupiñán F 8.2 89' 2 – 4 16 (12%) –
1 Sebastián Jurado G 7.8 90' – – – 27 (17%) –
26 Daniel Piña D 7.7 90' – – – 40 (33%) 4
2 Gilberto Sepúlveda D 7.6 90' – – – 20 (17%) –
4 Alejandro Mayorga D 7.5 30' – – – 6 (2%) 1
33 Francisco Nevarez D 7.3 90' – – – 42 (28%) 5
20 Javier Aquino D 7.2 60' – – – 26 (21%) 3
13 Rodrigo Dourado M 7.2 46' – – – 27 (24%) –
3 Jesús Murillo D 7.1 90' – – – 43 (36%) 2
6 Monchu M 7.1 89' – – 4 38 (36%) 2
11 José Luis Rodríguez F 6.9 90' – 1 3 19 (14%) –
183 Leonardo Rodríguez M 6.9 14' – – – 5 (4%) 1
21 Ricardinho M 6.8 1' – – – – –
9 Madson de Souza Silva F 6.5 1' – – – 2 (1%) –
5 Denzell Garcia M 6.5 76' – – 3 24 (20%) 2
8 Guilherme Castilho M 6.4 44' – – – 9 (9%) –
Tigres UANL
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Juan Brunetta M 7.0 90' – – 3 43 (35%) –
15 Alan Franco D 6.8 90' – – 1 61 (56%) 1
30 Diego Sánchez M 6.7 62' – – 2 23 (20%) –
21 Ricardo Monreal M 6.7 63' – – – 21 (17%) 2
8 Fernando Gorriarán M 6.6 90' – – 1 48 (41%) 2
17 Rodrigo Aguirre F 6.5 90' – – 3 13 (11%) –
28 Joaquim D 6.5 83' – – 2 38 (30%) 1
5 César Araújo M 6.4 90' – – – 52 (47%) –
33 Rafael Guerrero D 6.4 7' – – – 14 (13%) –
14 J. Garza D 6.3 90' – – – 52 (41%) 3
9 Emiliano Gómez F 6.2 7' – – – 5 (2%) –
19 Mauro Laínez D 6.2 83' – – – 51 (41%) 1
1 Nahuel Guzmán G 6.1 90' – – – 22 (18%) –
22 Guillermo Martínez F 6.0 28' – – – 4 –
77 Ozziel Herrera F 5.8 27' – – 1 7 (7%) –
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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean
Tigres UANL or draw
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FC Juarez
WLLLL
Tigres UANL
LDDDW
Last 2 meetings FC Juarez · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, FC Juarez will face Tigres UANL, where both teams will seek crucial points. FC Juarez has shown a mixed form, currently sitting mid-table with a need to solidify their home record. Tigres UANL, on the other hand, is a more consistent side, boasting a stronger attack led by their high-profile forwards. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Tigres can exploit Juarez's vulnerabilities. Given Tigres' superior squad depth and experience, they may hold the upper hand in this matchup.

Live insights

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: FC Juarez leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.1%. Comeback chance: 0.9%.

79' Goal 85% sure

FC Juarez now leads 2-0 with 98.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 28.9%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FC Juarez leads 1-0. Win probability: 79.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.4%.

68' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. FC Juarez win: 73.7%. BTTS: 33.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 74.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 42.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
24%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
49%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Juarez
Ó. Estupiñán 5 gls
Tigres UANL
R. Aguirre 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL

1 FC Juarez Wins
0 Draws
1 Tigres UANL Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Mar 2026 FC Juarez 2 - 1 Tigres UANL
19 Jul 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 FC Juarez

FC Juarez — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Tigres UANL W 2 - 0
14 Sep A Santos Laguna L 2 - 1
05 Sep H CF Pachuca L 0 - 2
31 Aug A Toluca L 4 - 0
22 Aug H Club America L 1 - 2

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A FC Juarez L 2 - 0
13 Sep A Monterrey D 0 - 0
06 Sep H Necaxa D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Santos Laguna D 0 - 0
22 Aug H Atlante FC W 2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Tigres UANL

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Vucetich
1 Guzmán
19 Laínez
15 Franco
28 Joaquim
14 Garza
5 Araújo
8 Gorriarán
30 Sánchez
11 Brunetta
21 Monreal
17 Aguirre

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Guzmán G
14 J. Garza D
28 Joaquim D
15 A. Franco D
19 M. Laínez D
8 F. Gorriarán M
5 C. Araújo M
21 R. Monreal M
11 J. Brunetta M
30 D. Sánchez M
17 R. Aguirre F

Substitutes

198 I. Galvan M
33 R. Guerrero D
9 E. Gómez F
77 O. Herrera F
32 V. Loroña D
22 G. Martínez F
26 F. Ordóñez D
25 F. Rodríguez G
6 J. Vigón M
34 Simeone M

FC Juarez

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: T. Campos
1 Jurado
20 Aquino
26 Piña
2 Sepúlveda
3 Murillo
33 Nevárez
5 García
13 Dourado
6 Monchu
11 Rodríguez
19 Estupiñán

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Jurado G
33 F. Nevárez D
3 J. Murillo D
2 G. Sepúlveda D
26 D. Piña D
20 J. Aquino D
6 Monchu M
13 Rodrigo Dourado M
5 D. García M
19 Ó. Estupiñán F
11 J. Rodríguez F

Substitutes

183 L. Silva M
9 Madson F
24 B. Díaz G
23 H. Ortega D
8 Guilherme Castilho M
7 R. Fulgencio M
14 E. López D
17 L. Martínez Dupuy F
4 A. Mayorga D
21 Ricardinho M

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