Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 8

Post on X

CF Pachuca

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

AI call CF Pachuca or draw

33%

28%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca prediction: Sportiko gives Atlante FC a 33% chance of winning, CF Pachuca 38% and the draw 28%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 04:57.

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Home to Score 75%
Away to Score 73%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

▮ 6'

Christian Rivera Yellow Card

Eduardo Tercero Yellow Card

12' ▮

⚽ 0–1 13'

Salomón Rondón

▮ 15'

Kenedy Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 20'

Kenedy

Martín Fernández Yellow Card

26' ▮

⇄ 37'

Kenedy ⇄ Rodolfo Pizarro

⚽ 0–3 38'

Oussama Idrissi assist: Rodolfo Pizarro

▮ 45'

Sergio Rodríguez Yellow Card

Martín Fernández ⇄ José González

45' ⇄

Eugenio Pizzuto ⇄ Luis Puente

45' ⇄

Cristobal Alfaro ⇄ Nicolas Carrera

45' ⇄

HT 0–3

Joaquin Moxica ⇄ Jairón Charcopa

65' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Salomón Rondón ⇄ A. Alcáraz

⇄ 66'

Sergio Rodríguez ⇄ Nicolás Vallejo

⇄ 77'

Oussama Idrissi ⇄ Mauricio Isais

⇄ 78'

Alan Bautista

Eduardo Tercero ⇄ Armando Escobar

78' ⇄

▮ 82'

Carlos Sánchez Yellow Card

FT 0–3

Atlante FC

Match Stats

CF Pachuca

56% Ball Possession 44%

29 Total Shots 21

5 Shots on Goal 8

15 Shots off Goal 10

9 Blocked Shots 3

18 Shots insidebox 11

11 Shots outsidebox 10

5 Corner Kicks 5

2 Offsides 0

7 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

495 Total passes 401

442 Passes accurate 322

14 Free Kicks 7

Atlante FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 Walter Portales D	7.5	90'	–	–	2	44 (38%)	3
30 Martín Sarrafiore M	7.0	90'	–	–	6	59 (47%)	2
44 Aarón Quirós D	7.0	90'	–	–	2	70 (67%)	2
8 Eugenio Pizzuto M	6.7	46'	–	–	2	21 (19%)	2
1 Óscar Jiménez G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	–
19 Luis Calzadilla D	6.6	90'	–	–	2	52 (48%)	–
9 Luis Puente F	6.5	44'	–	–	2	8 (6%)	–
15 Jairón Charcopa F	6.5	25'	–	–	2	11 (9%)	–
6 Nicolas Carrera D	6.4	44'	–	–	1	37 (37%)	2
11 Joaquin Moxica F	6.4	65'	–	–	2	13 (11%)	1
25 Martín Fernández M	6.2	46'	–	–	1	21 (20%)	–
7 Jhojan Julio F	6.2	90'	–	–	4	24 (20%)	2
4 Eduardo Tercero D	6.0	78'	–	–	–	55 (50%)	–
16 José González M	6.0	44'	–	–	3	15 (13%)	–
14 Cristobal Alfaro D	5.9	46'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	1
27 Armando Escobar D	5.8	12'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–

CF Pachuca

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Oussama Idrissi M	8.2	77'	1	–	3	49 (41%)	5
25 Carlos Moreno G	8.1	90'	–	–	–	33 (19%)	–
29 Kenedy M	8.0	37'	1	–	1	8 (8%)	1
23 Salomón Rondón F	8.0	66'	1	–	4	15 (10%)	–
2 Sergio Barreto D	7.8	90'	–	–	1	34 (31%)	3
4 Eduardo Bauermann D	7.7	90'	–	–	2	28 (25%)	3
Seamus Maughan	7.5	12'	–	–	1	6 (2%)	2
14 Carlos Sánchez D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	33 (28%)	8
15 Francisco Venegas D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	42 (33%)	1
26 Alan Bautista M	7.2	78'	–	–	2	28 (24%)	2
7 Rodolfo Pizarro M	7.0	53'	–	1	1	32 (26%)	1
6 Mauricio Isais D	6.9	13'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
21 Nicolás Vallejo F	6.8	24'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	–
16 Christian Rivera M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	44 (40%)	2
9 A. Alcáraz F	6.7	24'	–	–	1	7 (4%)	–
30 Sergio Rodríguez M	6.4	66'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	2

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

CF Pachuca or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Atlante FC

DLDDL

CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Match summary

Atlante FC faces CF Pachuca in this Liga MX clash, with both teams looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses. Atlante has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Pachuca has been dynamic in attack, ranking among the top teams for goals scored this season. Key players to watch include Atlante's goalkeeper, who has the highest saves per game in the league, and Pachuca's leading scorer, who thrives in high-pressure situations. This matchup will likely hinge on Atlante's ability to contain Pachuca's offensive threats while capitalizing on set pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

38%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CF Pachuca goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Atlante FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Atlante FC

No scorer data.

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	7.3%	5.9%	2.6%	0.9%
1	7.6%	13.9%	8.2%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.4%	8.5%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
3	2.9%	3.9%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlante FC	Draw	CF Pachuca
Atlante FC	20.6%	4.6%	2.3%
Draw	14.9%	18.1%	14.6%
CF Pachuca	2.2%	4.3%	18.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atlante FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Puebla	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Leon	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Tigres UANL	L	2 - 0

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

CF Pachuca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Mora

25 Moreno

15 Venegas

2 Barreto

4 Bauermann

14 Sánchez

16 Rivera

30 Rodríguez

11 Idrissi

26 Gutiérrez

29 Kenedy

23 Rondón

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	C. Moreno	G
14	C. Sánchez	D
4	Eduardo Bauermann	D
2	S. Barreto	D
15	F. Venegas	D
30	S. Rodríguez	M
16	C. Rivera	M
29	Kenedy	M
26	Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez	M
11	O. Idrissi	M
23	S. Rondón	F

Substitutes

9	A. Alcáraz	F
187	G. Ãlvarez	F
31	J. Eulogio	G
6	M. Isaís	D
7	R. Pizarro	M
12	S. Santos	M
21	N. Vallejo	F
32	P. Budib	D
206	Thomas Contreras	M
221	Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso	D

Atlante FC

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Mohammed Adil Erradi

1 Jiménez

19 Calzadilla

44 Quiroz

4 Tercero

14 Alfaro

29 Portales

25 Fernández

8 Pizzuto

30 Sarrafiore

7 Julio

11 Chapa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ó. Jiménez	G
29	Walter Portales	D
14	C. Alfaro	D
4	E. Tercero	D
44	A. Quiroz	D
19	L. Calzadilla	D
30	M. Sarrafiore	M
8	E. Pizzuto	M
25	M. Fernández	M
11	Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa	F
7	J. Julio	F

Substitutes

10	O. Vazquez	M
20	G. Adame	M
22	R. Barragan	G
6	J. N. Carrera	D
15	Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas	F
37	W. Clar	D
27	A. Escobar	D
9	L. Puente	F
3	G. Sánchez	D
16	José González	M