Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 8
FT
Post on X
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
AI call Necaxa or draw
45%
27%
28%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Necaxa vs Puebla prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 45% chance of winning, Puebla 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 02:59.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Away to Score 72%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Owen González ⇄ K. Rosero
45' ⇄
Mauro Zaleta ⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Omar Moreno ⇄ Ignacio Maestro Puch
⇄ 45'
Fernando Monarrez ⇄ Óscar Villa
▮ 45+1'
Juan Pablo Vargas Yellow Card
R. Martínez Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
▮ 45+1'
Fernando Monarrez Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮ 49'
Carlos Baltazar Yellow Card
⇄ 62'
Kevin Velasco ⇄ Mathías Tomás
Matías Espíndola ⇄ Juan Torres
68' ⇄
Lorenzo Faravelli ⇄ Danny Leyva
75' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Brayan Garnica ⇄ Lucas Camilo
Pedro Pedraza ⇄ J. Valencia
86' ⇄
⇄ 89'
Carlos Baltazar ⇄ Jose Pachuca
⚽ 0–1 90+3'
Mathías Tomás assist: Alejandro Organista
FT 0–1
Necaxa

Match Stats

Puebla
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
428 Total passes 337
372 Passes accurate 281
12 Free Kicks 11
Necaxa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Kaiky Naves D 7.7 90' – – 3 80 (72%) 2
3 Agustín Oliveros D 7.4 90' – – – 51 (46%) 2
12 Luis Jimenez G 7.0 90' – – – 29 (24%) –
33 R. Martínez D 6.9 90' – – – 51 (46%) 3
7 K. Rosero F 6.8 44' – – 1 19 (17%) 1
14 Mauro Zaleta M 6.7 46' – – – 19 (18%) 1
16 Pedro Pedraza M 6.7 86' – – – 28 (26%) 2
6 Danny Leyva M 6.6 15' – – – 14 (13%) –
99 Emilio Rodriguez M 6.6 44' – – 1 10 (7%) –
10 Javier Ruiz M 6.5 90' – – 1 20 (16%) 1
11 Juan Torres M 6.4 22' – – – 12 (10%) –
13 Owen González M 6.4 46' – – – 17 (17%) 1
8 Lorenzo Faravelli M 6.3 75' – – – 29 (25%) 2
90 J. Valencia F 6.3 4' – – – – –
9 Julián Carranza F 6.2 90' – – 2 21 (15%) 2
21 Matías Espíndola M 5.9 68' – – – 25 (16%) 2
Puebla
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Mathías Tomás M 8.2 28' 1 – 2 17 (16%) 1
5 Facundo Almada D 7.7 90' – – 1 40 (34%) 2
24 Alejandro Organista M 7.7 90' – 1 – 48 (44%) 6
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D 7.4 90' – – 1 40 (35%) 1
15 Óscar Villa D 7.3 44' – – 1 13 (12%) 1
12 Iker Moreno D 7.0 90' – – – 26 (20%) 2
20 Jose Pachuca D 7.0 1' – – – – –
28 Daniel Gutierrez G 6.9 90' – – – 29 (17%) –
21 Sergio Sanabria M 6.9 90' – – – 31 (27%) 2
34 Lucas Camilo M 6.8 9' – – – 4 (4%) –
7 Fernando Monarrez D 6.7 46' – – – 18 (15%) –
27 Brayan Garnica M 6.7 81' – – 2 22 (18%) 3
19 Ignacio Maestro Puch F 6.6 44' – – 2 3 (2%) –
26 Kevin Velasco M 6.5 62' – – – 16 (13%) 3
8 Omar Moreno F 6.5 46' – – 1 7 (4%) 1
22 Carlos Baltazar M 6.3 89' – – 2 22 (20%) –
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Necaxa vs Puebla

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Pick types you choose
Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Necaxa or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Necaxa
WLDLL
Puebla
LLLDD
Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Necaxa faces Puebla in a Liga MX clash that promises an intriguing contest. Necaxa has shown a mixed form in recent matches, with a goal difference of -3 over their last five games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Puebla, on the other hand, has exhibited a more stable performance, maintaining a solid midfield presence and averaging 1.5 goals per game in their last outings. Key players to watch include Necaxa’s top scorer, who has netted 4 goals this season, and Puebla's playmaker, instrumental in their build-up play. The tactical battle will likely revolve around midfield control, making it crucial for both teams to establish dominance early in the match.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Necaxa
J. Carranza 7 gls
Puebla

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Necaxa vs Puebla

1 Necaxa Wins
1 Draws
0 Puebla Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Mar 2026 Puebla 0 - 0 Necaxa
19 Sep 2025 Necaxa 1 - 0 Puebla

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Club Tijuana W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Santos Laguna L 1 - 0
24 Oct H FC Juarez D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Guadalajara Chivas L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Atlas L 0 - 2

Puebla — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H U.N.A.M. - Pumas L 1 - 2
25 Oct A Atlas L 4 - 3
22 Oct H Monterrey L 1 - 4
17 Oct A Club Tijuana D 0 - 0
10 Oct H Leon D 1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Necaxa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Varini
12 Jiménez
3 Oliveros
5 Naves
33 Martínez
14 Zaleta
8 Faravelli
16 Pedraza
13 Ojeda
10 Ruiz
21 Espíndola
9 Carranza

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 L. Jiménez G
33 R. Martínez D
5 Kaiky Naves D
3 A. Oliveros D
13 Owen de Jesús González Ojeda M
16 P. Pedraza M
8 L. Faravelli M
14 M. Zaleta M
21 M. Espíndola M
10 J. Ruiz M
9 J. Carranza F

Substitutes

7 K. Rosero F
1 C. Andrade G
88 C. Vargas D
17 R. Cortéz M
6 D. Leyva M
20 F. Méndez D
4 A. Peña D
99 M. Rodríguez M
11 J. Torres M
90 J. Valencia F

Puebla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
28 Gutiérrez
7 Monárrez
4 Vargas
5 Almada
12 Moreno
21 Sanabria
24 Organista
22 Baltazar
26 Velasco
27 Garnica
8 Moreno

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 R. Gutiérrez G
12 I. Moreno D
5 F. Almada D
4 J. Vargas D
7 F. Monárrez D
24 A. Organista M
21 S. Sanabria M
27 B. Garnica M
26 K. Velasco M
22 C. Baltazar M
8 O. Moreno F

Substitutes

34 Lucas Camilo M
3 A. Herrera M
2 Á. Leyva D
19 I. Maestro Puch F
20 J. Pachuca D
16 A. Ramírez M
33 J. Rodríguez G
10 M. Tomás M
15 Ó. Villa D
195 Alvaro Burgos D

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in