Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
AI call
Necaxa or draw
45%
27%
28%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Necaxa vs Puebla prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 45% chance of winning, Puebla 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 02:59.
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- 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
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Timeline
Owen González
⇄ K. Rosero
45'
⇄
Mauro Zaleta
⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Omar Moreno
⇄ Ignacio Maestro Puch
⇄
45'
Fernando Monarrez
⇄ Óscar Villa
▮
45+1'
Juan Pablo Vargas
Yellow Card
R. Martínez
Yellow Card
45+1'
▮
▮
45+1'
Fernando Monarrez
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮
49'
Carlos Baltazar
Yellow Card
⇄
62'
Kevin Velasco
⇄ Mathías Tomás
Matías Espíndola
⇄ Juan Torres
68'
⇄
Lorenzo Faravelli
⇄ Danny Leyva
75'
⇄
⇄
81'
Brayan Garnica
⇄ Lucas Camilo
Pedro Pedraza
⇄ J. Valencia
86'
⇄
⇄
89'
Carlos Baltazar
⇄ Jose Pachuca
⚽
0–1
90+3'
Mathías Tomás
assist: Alejandro Organista
FT 0–1
Necaxa
Match Stats
Puebla
56%
Ball Possession
44%
8
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
3
6
Shots insidebox
7
2
Shots outsidebox
5
8
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
428
Total passes
337
372
Passes accurate
281
12
Free Kicks
11
Necaxa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Kaiky Naves D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 80 (72%) | 2 |
| 3 Agustín Oliveros D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (46%) | 2 |
| 12 Luis Jimenez G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | – |
| 33 R. Martínez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (46%) | 3 |
| 7 K. Rosero F | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 14 Mauro Zaleta M | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 16 Pedro Pedraza M | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | 2 |
| 6 Danny Leyva M | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 99 Emilio Rodriguez M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 10 Javier Ruiz M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 11 Juan Torres M | 6.4 | 22' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 13 Owen González M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | 1 |
| 8 Lorenzo Faravelli M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 90 J. Valencia F | 6.3 | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Julián Carranza F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 21 (15%) | 2 |
| 21 Matías Espíndola M | 5.9 | 68' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | 2 |
Puebla
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mathías Tomás M | 8.2 | 28' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 5 Facundo Almada D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 2 |
| 24 Alejandro Organista M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 48 (44%) | 6 |
| 4 Juan Pablo Vargas D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (35%) | 1 |
| 15 Óscar Villa D | 7.3 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 12 Iker Moreno D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 2 |
| 20 Jose Pachuca D | 7.0 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 28 Daniel Gutierrez G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 21 Sergio Sanabria M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 34 Lucas Camilo M | 6.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 7 Fernando Monarrez D | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 27 Brayan Garnica M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 22 (18%) | 3 |
| 19 Ignacio Maestro Puch F | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 26 Kevin Velasco M | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 3 |
| 8 Omar Moreno F | 6.5 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 22 Carlos Baltazar M | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 22 (20%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
Necaxa or draw
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Necaxa
LLDLD
Puebla
DLWLW
Last 2 meetings
Necaxa · 1W 1D 0L
Match summary
Necaxa faces Puebla in a Liga MX clash that promises an intriguing contest. Necaxa has shown a mixed form in recent matches, with a goal difference of -3 over their last five games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Puebla, on the other hand, has exhibited a more stable performance, maintaining a solid midfield presence and averaging 1.5 goals per game in their last outings. Key players to watch include Necaxa’s top scorer, who has netted 4 goals this season, and Puebla's playmaker, instrumental in their build-up play. The tactical battle will likely revolve around midfield control, making it crucial for both teams to establish dominance early in the match.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Necaxa
J. Carranza
5 gls
Puebla
E. Mustre
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Necaxa vs Puebla
1
Necaxa Wins
1
Draws
0
Puebla Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Puebla | 0 - 0 | Necaxa |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Necaxa | 1 - 0 | Puebla |
Necaxa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Atletico San Luis | L | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Puebla | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Aug | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
Puebla — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Atlante FC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Toluca | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Necaxa | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Club America | L | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | H Santos Laguna | W | 3 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Necaxa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Varini
12
Jiménez
3
Oliveros
5
Naves
33
Martínez
14
Zaleta
8
Faravelli
16
Pedraza
13
Ojeda
10
Ruiz
21
Espíndola
9
Carranza
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | L. Jiménez | G |
| 33 | R. Martínez | D |
| 5 | Kaiky Naves | D |
| 3 | A. Oliveros | D |
| 13 | Owen de Jesús González Ojeda | M |
| 16 | P. Pedraza | M |
| 8 | L. Faravelli | M |
| 14 | M. Zaleta | M |
| 21 | M. Espíndola | M |
| 10 | J. Ruiz | M |
| 9 | J. Carranza | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | K. Rosero | F |
| 1 | C. Andrade | G |
| 88 | C. Vargas | D |
| 17 | R. Cortéz | M |
| 6 | D. Leyva | M |
| 20 | F. Méndez | D |
| 4 | A. Peña | D |
| 99 | M. Rodríguez | M |
| 11 | J. Torres | M |
| 90 | J. Valencia | F |
Puebla
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Thaloba Nthaga
28
Gutiérrez
7
Monárrez
4
Vargas
5
Almada
12
Moreno
21
Sanabria
24
Organista
22
Baltazar
26
Velasco
27
Garnica
8
Moreno
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | R. Gutiérrez | G |
| 12 | I. Moreno | D |
| 5 | F. Almada | D |
| 4 | J. Vargas | D |
| 7 | F. Monárrez | D |
| 24 | A. Organista | M |
| 21 | S. Sanabria | M |
| 27 | B. Garnica | M |
| 26 | K. Velasco | M |
| 22 | C. Baltazar | M |
| 8 | O. Moreno | F |
Substitutes
| 34 | Lucas Camilo | M |
| 3 | A. Herrera | M |
| 2 | Á. Leyva | D |
| 19 | I. Maestro Puch | F |
| 20 | J. Pachuca | D |
| 16 | A. Ramírez | M |
| 33 | J. Rodríguez | G |
| 10 | M. Tomás | M |
| 15 | Ó. Villa | D |
| 195 | Alvaro Burgos | D |