CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction
AI call
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
29%
29%
42%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction: Sportiko gives CF Pachuca a 29% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 42% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 01:08.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
3'
Roberto Alvarado
assist: Hugo Camberos
Oussama Idrissi
Yellow Card
25'
▮
Francisco Venegas
Yellow Card
32'
▮
HT 0–1
⇄
51'
Efrain Alvarez
⇄ Brian Gutiérrez
Carlos Sánchez
Yellow Card
53'
▮
Alan Bautista
⇄ Rodolfo Pizarro
57'
⇄
⇄
59'
⇄ Richard Ledezma
⇄
59'
Hugo Camberos
⇄ Jordan Carrillo
Oussama Idrissi
⇄ Nicolás Vallejo
65'
⇄
Elías Montiel
⇄ Andrés Arroyo
65'
⇄
Salomón Rondón
Penalty
79'
⚽
1–1
⇄
84'
Ricardo Marín
⇄ Ángel Sepúlveda
⇄
84'
Omar Govea
⇄ Kevin Castañeda
Kenedy
⇄ Adrián Alcaraz
87'
⇄
Andrés Arroyo
Yellow Card
90'
▮
FT 1–1
CF Pachuca
Match Stats
Guadalajara Chivas
43%
Ball Possession
57%
1.53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
17
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots off Goal
3
4
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
6
7
Shots outsidebox
5
8
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
20
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
382
Total passes
514
311
Passes accurate
448
81%
Passes %
87%
0.15
goals_prevented
0.15
CF Pachuca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sergio Barreto D | 7.5 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 36 (34%) | 2 |
| 16 Christian Rivera M | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | 4 |
| 11 Oussama Idrissi F | 7.3 | 65' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 25 Carlos Moreno G | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 23 Salomón Rondón F | 6.9 | 95' | 1 | – | 3 | 18 (9%) | 1 |
| 21 Nicolás Vallejo F | 6.9 | 30' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 10 Elías Montiel M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | – |
| 14 Carlos Sánchez D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 49 (35%) | 1 |
| 28 Andrés Arroyo M | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 7 Rodolfo Pizarro M | 6.6 | 38' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | 2 |
| 15 Francisco Venegas D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | 1 |
| 29 Kenedy F | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | 3 |
| 13 Jorge Berlanga D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 47 (44%) | – |
| 9 Adrián Alcaraz M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 26 Alan Bautista M | 6.2 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | – |
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Raúl Rangel G | 7.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | – |
| 14 Hugo Camberos M | 7.5 | 59' | – | 1 | – | 22 (17%) | – |
| 7 Luis Romo D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 74 (58%) | 3 |
| 25 Roberto Alvarado F | 7.2 | 95' | 1 | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 1 |
| 3 Diego Campillo D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 76 (70%) | 1 |
| 6 Omar Govea M | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | – | 59 (57%) | – |
| 28 Fernando González M | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 60 (55%) | 4 |
| 30 Santiago Sandoval M | 6.9 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 18 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Ángel Sepúlveda F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24 Miguel Gómez D | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 52 (45%) | 6 |
| 17 Ricardo Marín F | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 10 Efrain Alvarez F | 6.6 | 51' | – | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | – |
| 19 Kevin Castañeda M | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 33 Jordan Carrillo M | 6.5 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 11 Brian Gutiérrez M | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 37 Richard Ledezma D | 6.2 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
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CF Pachuca
DWWDD
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWDW
Last 2 meetings
CF Pachuca · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca will face Guadalajara Chivas. Pachuca has shown strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Chivas has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, as Pachuca has been particularly effective in this area. The matchup will likely hinge on Pachuca's ability to convert chances and Chivas’ defensive organization. Given the statistics, Pachuca may hold a slight edge if they maintain their offensive momentum.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
CF Pachuca
S. Rondón
10 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
R. Alvarado
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas
0
CF Pachuca Wins
0
Draws
2
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 - 0 | CF Pachuca |
| 03 Nov 2025 | CF Pachuca | 0 - 1 | Guadalajara Chivas |
CF Pachuca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | H Club Tijuana | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Atlante FC | W | 0 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Juarez | W | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Guadalajara Chivas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | A Atletico San Luis | D | 1 - 1 |
Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Club America | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | H U.N.A.M. - Pumas | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Atletico San Luis | W | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | A CF Pachuca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Club Tijuana | W | 5 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
CF Pachuca
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Benjamin Mora
25
Moreno
15
Venegas
2
Barreto
13
Berlanga
14
Sánchez
26
Bautista
16
Rivera
10
Montiel
11
Idrissi
23
Rondón
29
Kenedy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Carlos Moreno | G |
| 14 | Carlos Sánchez | D |
| 13 | Jorge Berlanga | D |
| 2 | Sergio Barreto | D |
| 15 | Francisco Venegas | D |
| 10 | Elías Montiel | M |
| 16 | Christian Rivera | M |
| 26 | Alan Bautista | M |
| 29 | Kenedy | F |
| 23 | Salomón Rondón | F |
| 11 | Oussama Idrissi | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Rodolfo Pizarro | M |
| 31 | Jose Eulogio | G |
| 32 | Pedro Budib | D |
| 6 | Mauricio Isais | D |
| 28 | Andrés Arroyo | M |
| 206 | Thomas Contreras | M |
| 30 | Sergio Rodríguez | M |
| 187 | Gael Álvarez | F |
| 21 | Nicolás Vallejo | F |
| 9 | Adrián Alcaraz | M |
Guadalajara Chivas
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Milito
1
Rangel
7
Romo
3
Campillo
24
Gómez
14
Camberos
28
González
6
Govea
30
Sandoval
10
Alvarez
25
Alvarado
17
Marín
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raúl Rangel | G |
| 24 | Miguel Gómez | D |
| 3 | Diego Campillo | D |
| 7 | Luis Romo | D |
| 30 | Santiago Sandoval | M |
| 6 | Omar Govea | M |
| 28 | Fernando González | M |
| 14 | Hugo Camberos | M |
| 25 | Roberto Alvarado | F |
| 10 | Efrain Alvarez | F |
| 17 | Ricardo Marín | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Brian Gutiérrez | M |
| 33 | Jordan Carrillo | M |
| 37 | Richard Ledezma | D |
| 13 | Óscar Whalley | G |
| 19 | Kevin Castañeda | M |
| 18 | Jonathan Perez | M |
| 16 | Luis Gabriel Rey | D |
| 59 | Cristian Samir Inda | M |
| 57 | Jesús Hernández | M |
| 9 | Ángel Sepúlveda | F |