Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 6

Post on X

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Away

Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

AI call Club Tijuana or draw

42%

30%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction: Sportiko gives Club Tijuana a 42% chance of winning, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 29% and the draw 30%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 05:04.

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Home to Score 71%
1st Half Draw or Away 72%

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Timeline

▮ 12'

Adalberto Carrasquilla Yellow Card

Iván Tona Yellow Card

33' ▮

HT 0–0

Gilberto Mora Penalty

53' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 59'

Pablo Bennevendo Red Card

⇄ 67'

Alan Medina ⇄ Pedro Vite

⇄ 67'

Adalberto Carrasquilla ⇄ Juninho

Jesús Vega ⇄ Unai Bilbao

77' ⇄

Yael Padilla ⇄ Ángel Zapata

77' ⇄

Francisco González ⇄ Ramiro Árciga

77' ⇄

Gilberto Mora Penalty

81' ⚽ 2–0

Adonis Preciado ⇄ Pablo Nicolás Ortíz

82' ⇄

Mourad El Ghezouani ⇄ Diego Abreu

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Uriel Antuna ⇄ Cristian Calderón

⇄ 84'

Victor Arteaga ⇄ Israel Luna

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Club Tijuana or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Club Tijuana

DLWLW

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

DLWLD

Last 2 meetings Club Tijuana · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX match, Club Tijuana will face U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Tijuana has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five home games. Meanwhile, U.N.A.M. has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their last five outings. The matchup will likely hinge on Tijuana's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities while U.N.A.M. will need to tighten their defense to avoid falling behind early. This clash could be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	9	5	2
1	12	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	3	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Club Tijuana goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Club Tijuana

G. Mora 5 gls

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Juninho 4 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

19%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.2%	9.0%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
1	12.4%	15.0%	6.2%	2.0%	0.5%
2	8.7%	8.1%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.6%	3.3%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.1%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Club Tijuana	Draw	U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club Tijuana	23.5%	3.7%	1.0%
Draw	16.8%	21.9%	10.2%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas	2.0%	4.6%	16.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

0 Club Tijuana Wins

1 Draws

1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Club Tijuana	1 - 1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas
02 Nov 2025	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	4 - 1	Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A CF Pachuca	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Club Queretaro	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	5 - 2
17 Aug	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 1

U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	3 - 0
11 Sep	H Leon	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	A Club Tijuana	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.